Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
104
FXUS29 KWNC 151231
POELHB
HEATING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 15 MAY 2025
VALID: JULY - SEPTEMBER 2025
...HEATING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
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1. N NEW ENGLAND 512
232 253 276 306 329 349 370 390 413 441 480 514 552
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 299
0 0 0 41 100 158 175 245 261 282 317 349 387
3. N NEW YORK 343
0 0 18 93 162 229 218 278 300 328 370 404 446
4. S NEW ENGLAND 154
0 0 0 0 6 50 72 107 118 133 157 179 207
5. E GRT LAKES 239
0 0 0 39 100 158 169 229 248 272 307 339 377
6. OHIO 128
0 0 0 26 51 76 68 85 98 117 146 172 205
7. MID-ATL COAST 53
0 0 0 0 0 0 12 19 25 34 50 65 84
8. N APPALACHNS 193
0 0 0 13 60 107 118 165 180 199 228 254 286
9. CENT APPALACHNS 120
0 0 0 9 39 70 67 86 100 118 146 170 200
10. COASTL VIRG 31
0 0 0 0 0 2 5 9 13 20 32 43 58
11. S APPALACHNS 63
0 0 0 0 0 5 29 44 54 66 86 104 126
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 9
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 9 13 18
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 20
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 14 22 31 43
14. UPPER MICH 429
219 241 261 290 313 334 355 376 400 429 470 505 547
15. N MINN 461
247 273 297 329 354 376 399 421 446 477 521 557 600
16. E NORTH DAK 390
185 211 237 270 295 317 339 361 386 418 464 503 549
17. W NORTH DAK 403
0 21 82 186 283 378 337 410 439 475 528 573 627
18. E MONT 367
0 0 26 125 218 308 287 363 393 429 484 532 590
19. N-CENT MONT 479
178 208 237 276 308 336 366 396 430 472 534 586 649
20. S-CENT MONT 466
0 16 81 192 295 395 340 403 436 477 538 590 652
21. W MONT 573
261 290 318 354 382 407 433 457 485 519 568 612 665
22. N-CENT MICH 276
0 0 13 85 153 218 211 273 293 317 357 393 435
23. S MICH 159
0 4 25 64 101 138 113 131 148 170 203 231 266
24. E-CENT ILL 104
0 0 4 33 61 89 78 97 109 125 151 175 204
25. N ILL 177
63 73 83 97 111 125 139 154 171 193 226 255 290
26. N WISC 350
174 195 214 238 258 274 291 310 330 356 393 424 460
27. SE MINN 272
0 3 43 114 180 244 221 273 291 313 345 373 410
28. E SOUTH DAK 269
129 144 160 182 200 217 234 251 271 296 333 367 411
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 233
97 112 128 149 166 182 198 215 235 260 299 332 373
30. W SOUTH DAK 253
96 114 131 156 174 191 209 228 250 279 322 361 413
31. NE WYOMING 348
0 0 18 106 188 268 257 332 356 385 429 469 517
32. NW WYOMING 523
239 263 286 319 346 371 395 420 448 482 530 572 621
33. E IOWA 163
0 9 35 82 126 169 146 172 191 214 248 278 314
34. NW IOWA 187
0 10 41 94 144 192 166 197 217 243 279 311 350
35. CENT NEBRASKA 190
0 4 30 77 121 164 140 166 186 211 248 281 321
36. S NEBRASKA 141
50 57 67 81 94 105 118 131 146 165 198 229 265
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 248
0 0 3 65 124 182 176 231 248 269 301 328 360
38. E KENTUCKY 71
0 0 0 0 0 18 40 63 73 87 109 131 159
39. W KENTUCKY 52
0 0 0 5 18 30 26 32 41 52 71 87 108
40. SE MISSOURI 65
0 0 0 9 23 39 35 46 57 71 91 109 132
41. NE MISSOURI 86
18 24 31 42 51 59 68 78 89 103 124 144 168
42. NW MISSOURI 88
18 23 29 37 47 56 66 77 89 104 127 148 173
43. E KANSAS 62
12 15 18 24 30 35 42 48 57 68 88 106 127
44. CENT KANSAS 70
0 0 3 21 38 56 47 58 67 83 109 131 157
45. W KANSAS 82
0 1 9 25 40 55 45 53 63 76 95 113 134
46. NE COLO 295
0 0 1 69 133 195 191 253 270 292 325 356 394
47. SE COLO 196
0 0 0 4 48 91 105 149 162 179 206 230 259
48. W COLO 383
0 0 23 93 160 226 224 294 314 340 379 411 451
49. SW WYOMING 582
249 278 305 342 370 394 419 443 469 502 549 590 638
50. CENT TENN 47
0 0 0 0 2 13 16 22 31 44 62 79 100
51. W TENN 21
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 25 36 47 62
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 43
0 0 0 5 14 25 23 30 37 47 64 80 101
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 28
0 0 0 0 0 0 10 17 23 31 43 54 68
54. TX W OF ABILENE 22
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 13 23 31 41
55. N HI PLAINS TX 35
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 13 19 31 43 58
56. N GEORGIA 17
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 10 13 20 27 36
57. N ALABAMA 18
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 23 30 41
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 9
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 19 25
59. S ARKANSAS 18
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 8 13 21 28 37
60. E TX 7
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 8 12
61. DALLAS REG TX 8
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 14 18
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3
63. FAR S TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
64. W-CENT TX 10
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 12 16
65. W TX PANHANDLE 11
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 26
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14
67. CENT FLA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5
68. S FLA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8
69. FLA PANHANDLE 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 20
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 9
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 8 9
72. NW WASH 348
0 0 23 100 173 244 242 317 335 361 399 433 472
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 377
0 0 0 39 122 204 241 351 370 397 438 475 518
74. CENT WASH 264
0 0 2 60 115 170 176 242 255 271 296 317 343
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 474
252 272 290 314 332 348 363 379 396 418 448 474 503
76. COASTL WASH 521
359 376 392 411 427 440 452 464 478 495 521 544 570
77. E IDAHO 392
0 0 0 58 137 214 244 347 366 392 431 464 504
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 518
225 248 271 304 330 353 376 400 426 458 504 543 592
79. SW IDAHO 196
0 0 0 0 30 83 107 151 165 183 211 235 266
80. E OREG 397
0 10 57 140 218 296 293 384 402 425 457 485 520
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 241
0 0 0 38 91 142 166 239 249 261 279 295 316
82. OREG COAST 435
307 325 342 363 378 392 406 419 434 452 477 502 531
83. NE UTAH 344
0 0 0 0 17 115 191 308 322 340 368 393 429
84. SE UTAH 62
0 0 0 0 0 13 30 48 54 62 76 90 108
85. W UTAH 137
0 0 0 0 16 44 56 79 90 105 127 144 164
86. NE NEVADA 351
0 7 49 122 190 258 252 326 341 361 390 416 447
87. NW NEVADA 255
0 0 0 31 86 140 165 239 251 265 287 306 329
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 90
0 0 0 0 8 24 31 45 51 60 72 84 98
89. N CALIF COAST 127
0 0 0 0 0 38 81 132 139 148 161 172 187
90. CENT NEVADA 145
0 0 0 16 41 66 72 101 109 119 136 151 170
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 29
0 0 0 0 0 0 5 9 11 14 19 23 29
92. CENT CALIF COAST 115
0 0 0 0 18 49 66 100 108 118 134 148 166
93. S CALIF COAST 31
0 0 0 0 0 0 11 18 21 25 32 39 48
94. SE CALIF 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
96. SW ARIZONA 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3
97. NE ARIZONA 104
0 0 0 0 3 37 57 88 95 105 120 134 151
98. SE ARIZONA 11
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 30
99. N NEW MEX 302
0 0 0 44 107 169 199 289 302 319 345 368 396
100. E NEW MEX 45
0 0 0 0 0 4 4 7 11 18 28 39 53
101. CENT NEW MEX 141
0 0 0 0 13 50 70 103 114 127 147 165 187
102. S NEW MEX 22
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 18 26 37
$$