053
FXUS64 KLCH 190838
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
338 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 328 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Patchy ground fog has developed once again this morning primarily
across central LA and interior SETX. May see some additional
development closer to the coast through the early morning, but
don`t expect significant visibility restrictions. Fog should
dissipate no later than 14Z.

Little change to the overall forecast philosophy through the
weekend as upper level ridging presently centered over southern
Texas will continue to dominate the weather pattern over the
western Gulf of Mexico. While a couple of isolated showers or
thunderstorms can`t be completely ruled out across the Atchafalaya
basin, consensus probs are below 20%. Temperatures will again
climb into the lower 90s with forecast heat indices at or just
above 100. Weak surface high pressure over the Southeastern U.S.
will keep the surface gradient very relaxed with light, variable
winds generally under 5 MPH. Near carbon copy conditions will
prevail through Saturday.

Jones

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 328 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Late in the weekend a ridge will be situated across southern Texas
and Louisiana while a short wave pushes into the central plains.
Summertime temperatures can be expected while chances of rain remain
near zero.

Early to mid week, the ridge will drift east across the northern
gulf coast as the aforementioned short wave moves into central
sections of the country. As the ridge departs the local area, a very
modest increase in rain chances may occur. Temperatures will remain
near to slightly above climo norms.

05

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1149 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

No changes to the forecast since the previous package. Still
expecting patchy fog to develop prior to sunrise, likely at all
sites. Once fog burns off post-sunrise VFR conditions will
prevail.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 328 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

High pressure will continue building into the region today. This
ridge will bring about a prolonged period of warm, dry conditions
with light winds and low seas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  91  70  92  68 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  91  75  92  74 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  92  75  93  74 /  10   0   0   0
BPT  94  75  94  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...66