360
FXUS64 KLCH 032329
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
629 PM CDT Wed Sep 3 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A few thunderstorms possible this afternoon, but no precipitation
expected Thursday or Friday.

- Temperatures will remain near climatological normals, but slightly
lower afternoon dewpoints will make conditions slightly more
tolerable.

- Low precipitation chances return for the weekend as moisture
  pools ahead of another frontal boundary that will push through
  the region late Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Wed Sep 3 2025

After a few, surprise, early morning thunderstorms,
more traditional afternoon convection is getting underway across the
region. Expect convection activity to continue to pop up through the
afternoon before dissipating by around sunset this evening.
Interestingly, a pocket of drier air appears to have worked down to
the surface across parts of lower Acadiana where dewpoints have
fallen into the lower 60s compared to the low to mid 70s across the
rest of the region early this afternoon. Drier air, especially
aloft, in the wake of a weak fropa today will prevent convection
Thursday and Friday. The combination of drier air at the surface and
less cloud cover will push afternoon highs into the mid 90s away
from the coast.

Jones

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Wed Sep 3 2025

Precipitation chances return by Saturday as moisture begins
pooling along the gulf coast ahead of another weak frontal
boundary. Aiding in this pooling over the weekend may be the
remnants of east Pacific Hurricane Lorena which will be moving
across northern Mexico and southern Texas. This could make for
some very efficient rain makers through the weekend. The frontal
boundary is expected to push through the region sometime Sunday
dropping dewpoints back into the low to mid 60s Monday and
Tuesday. Although likely aided by cloud cover and possible
precipitation, afternoon highs Monday and Tuesday are expected to
be a bit below climatological normals in the mid to upper 80s.

Jones

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 PM CDT Wed Sep 3 2025

Hit and miss daytime heating convection will continue until
sunset, so will have VC at all terminals until about 04/02z.

Stable conditions are expected after sunset and through the night
with mainly light winds and clear skies. There is an outside
chance that some patchy fog may form before sunrise, especially
terminals that received rainfall, however probability at the
moment is too low to place in the TAFs. Otherwise, VFR conditions
are expected.

Rua

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Wed Sep 3 2025

Light, variable winds will turn predominantly onshore by
this evening where they will remain through Saturday. A weak frontal
boundary is expected to push through the region Sunday turning light
winds offshore in its wake. This boundary, which will stall
somewhere over the northern gulf, will likely result in scattered
showers and thunderstorms across the coastal waters Saturday through
the middle of next week. Away from storms, seas will remain between
1 and 2 feet over the next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Wed Sep 3 2025

Light and variable winds will prevail over the next
several days. Minimum RH Values will range from 45 to 60% each
afternoon. A few afternoon showers or thunderstorms can`t be ruled
out this afternoon, but no precipitation is expected again until
Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  69  94  70  95 /  10   0   0   0
LCH  74  91  76  91 /  20   0   0   0
LFT  72  91  73  92 /  20   0   0   0
BPT  73  93  75  92 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....66
AVIATION...07