Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
444 FXUS64 KLCH 080008 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 608 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 559 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 Well above normal maximum temperatures through the weekend. Two cold fronts to push through: Sunday and mid next week. Relatively dry weather until next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 241 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 With a surface high over the eastern gulf, southerly flow will continue across the area into the early weekend. Aloft, near zonal flow will continue. Tonight and into tomorrow morning, marine fog moving inland could potentially become hazardous. While no advisory was issued with the afternoon package, it could be possible with subsequent updates. Well above normal (and near record setting) MaxTs expected this afternoon and through the weekend. A weak cold will begin to push through Sunday with widely isolated showers in the forecast. Drier air is not expected to make it this far south. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through next Thursday) Issued at 241 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 Post frontal passage, slightly cooler air will move in, however temperatures will remain above normal. Winds will briefly turn out of the NE / NNE on Monday before becoming southerly again on Tuesday. From early to mid next week the forecast will become more active, with isolated daily rain chances at the minimum due to a series of disturbances. Another cold front is set to move south Wednesday, however scattered to numerous showers and storms are expected to ramp up ahead of the boundary. Some of these showers will have the potential to cause heavy downpours, leading to flash flooding. As a result, some areas north of the I-10 are in a Marginal Risk for excessive rain. Somewhat cooler and drier air will move in behind the boundary, however nothing remarkable. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 559 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 Daytime CU field continues to diminish across the area, with VFR currently at area terminals. The combination of low level moisture advecting inland on southerly winds will allow low clouds and fog to redevelop again this evening. Cigs are expected to fall to LIFR at the southern airports by 04-05Z, and vsbys falling to around 1/2-1/4SM after 06Z, with some fluctuations in vsbys anticipate overnight. At AEX, cigs are expected to lower to IFR between 06-09Z with little, if any, fog expected.Cigs/vsbys should improve through Saturday morning as southerly winds increase and become somewhat gusty. 24 && .MARINE UPDATE... Issued at 402 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 A Marine Dense Fog Advisory was issued for the lakes, bay, and nearshore coastal waters. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 64 82 63 78 / 0 0 0 10 LCH 64 79 63 78 / 0 0 0 10 LFT 65 82 64 81 / 0 0 0 10 BPT 65 82 64 79 / 0 0 0 10 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST Saturday for GMZ430-432-435- 436-450-452-455. && $$ SHORT TERM...87 LONG TERM....87 AVIATION...24