Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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381
FXUS64 KLCH 241708
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1208 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A weak frontal boundary will linger offshore through the early
  part of the week. Rain chances will remain elevated near the
  coast, with dry conditions elsewhere.

- Another weak cold front then moves through on Tuesday, bringing
  a slight increase in moisture/rain chances for mainly the
  southern half of the region that will persist through the later
  half of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

A stationary front is located offshore and will remain for most
of the forecast. Aloft, high pressure over the Four Corners region
is pushing dry continental air over the CWA. This dry air is
helping to create very pleasant weather conditions for the Gulf
Coast, especially since we are still in late August. Rain chances
today and Monday will remain low, as the best chance for rain will
come on Tuesday when a weak cold front moves across the region.
Even with the front, PoPs will be around 30%.

Temperatures will remain close to or slightly below normal for
this time of year, with highs in the low to mid-90s and lows in
the low 70s. After the passage of the front, we will have another
round of cooler, dry air and more pleasant weather.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

The rest of the forecast will see more pleasant weather as the
dry air is slowly replaced with moisture from the Gulf. Wednesday
will be the coolest day of the forecast, and parts of central
Louisiana will struggle to get into the 90s. Elsewhere, highs will
remain in the 90s, but when paired with the low humidity, we are
looking at some fantastic weather for late August.

The second half of the week will see moisture start to return as
the stationary front lifts north. The forecast will still be on
the quiet side, even as temperatures start to increase, with PoPs
around 30 to 40%. Highs will climb back into the 90s but will be
near average.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Dry air will lead to VFR conditions through the TAF forecast.
Winds will be light and from the north, around 5 to 10 knots.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Offshore flow will remain light, with values below 10 knots
through the middle of the week. A stalled boundary is located 150
miles offshore and will keep scattered showers and storms in the
forecast for the rest of the week. Waves will not be a concern
this week either, with wave heights expected to stay below 3 feet.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Dry air will bring minimum RH values down to the 40s this week in
central Louisiana and interior portions of southeast Texas. Winds
will remain light, less than 10 mph. KBDI values remain elevated
across the CWA and while we are not near red flag conditions fire
weather could be a concern later in the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  94  69  96  69 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  94  72  94  74 /   0   0  10  10
LFT  93  72  94  73 /   0   0  10  10
BPT  94  72  94  75 /  10   0  10  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...14