426
FXUS64 KLCH 252305
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
605 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Very scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms possible
  through early evening. Any storm may produce locally heavy
  rainfall and gusty winds.

- Very warm and humid conditions with little hope of rainfall
  expected through the middle part of next week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 305 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

Today`s airmass and convective activity is more reminiscent of
summertime than mid-spring! Earlier today, convection was bubbling
up across the entire CWA, but it is blatant to see high pressure
ridging is building in as everything has dissipated. A few
isolated thunderstorms will be possible through early evening, but
not expecting anything major or severe.

The remainder of the short term period will be very warm and humid
underneath high pressure aloft. Many area observations overshot
the forecasted high temps today, so Saturday and Sunday`s high
temps were bumped up from the baseline NBM. This is resulting in
forecast highs in the mid to upper 80s each day.

For those with outdoor plans, do not expect much in the way of
cloud cover or precipitation helping to break the heat. Hydrate,
stick to the shade and keep a close eye on those vulnerable to
these conditions!

11/Calhoun

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Thursday)
Issued at 305 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

High pressure remains well in control of the forecast into the
start of next work week. A few weak shortwave pulses attempt to
move down into the southeast US but they`re all shunted off to the
north of the high pressure dome. The ridge weakens a bit towards
the midweek as a stronger shortwave makes its way across central
Texas on Wednesday. This could be the first day to see any active
convection in the longterm period.

Even with the potential of rainfall, it does not appear a break in
the hot, humid conditions will take place through the end of next
week. Expect highs in the mid to upper 80s each day.

11/Calhoun

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 559 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

A boundary is causing showers and thunderstorms to form in an east
to west line across central Louisiana, impacting AEX. Impacts from
convection should remain north of I-10.

After sunset convection will fade away leading to VFR conditions
through most of the night. Near sunrise patchy fog is expected to
form. Impacts will be felt more along the coast with VIS dropping
into MVFR conditions and periods of IFR possible. CIGs are not
expected to drop below VFR.

After sunrise (14Z), VFR conditions will return. Winds will be
light through the period and mainly from the south.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 305 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

High pressure is building in from the southwest today and will
remain in control through much of the period. Expect mostly dry
conditions, mild to occasionally moderate onshore flow and 2 to 4
foot seas through at least the middle part of next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  64  86  64  88 /  20  10  10  10
LCH  68  85  69  86 /  10   0   0   0
LFT  67  86  68  87 /  10  10   0   0
BPT  69  85  70  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...14