Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
869
FXUS43 KWNC 161231
POELCC
COOLING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 16 OCT 2025
VALID: JANUARY - MARCH 2026
...COOLING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
________________________________________________________________
1. N NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3. N NEW YORK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4. S NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5. E GRT LAKES 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 5
6. OHIO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4 4
7. MID-ATL COAST 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 4
8. N APPALACHNS 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3
9. CENT APPALACHNS 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 4 4 5 5
10. COASTL VIRG 6
0 0 0 0 4 7 8 11 11 12 12 13 14
11. S APPALACHNS 4
0 0 0 0 0 2 5 8 8 9 9 10 12
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 35
23 27 31 35 39 42 44 45 46 47 50 53 58
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 18
7 10 12 16 19 21 22 24 25 27 30 32 36
14. UPPER MICH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
15. N MINN 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16. E NORTH DAK 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17. W NORTH DAK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 6
18. E MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 7 7
19. N-CENT MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
20. S-CENT MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4
21. W MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22. N-CENT MICH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 13
23. S MICH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5
24. E-CENT ILL 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 7
25. N ILL 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4
26. N WISC 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4
27. SE MINN 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6
28. E SOUTH DAK 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 14 13
30. W SOUTH DAK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 6
31. NE WYOMING 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
32. NW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
33. E IOWA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 6
34. NW IOWA 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 9 9
35. CENT NEBRASKA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 3
36. S NEBRASKA 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 6 5 7
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
38. E KENTUCKY 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 6 11 12 13 13 13 14
39. W KENTUCKY 8
0 0 0 0 1 7 10 14 14 15 15 17 21
40. SE MISSOURI 6
0 0 0 0 0 4 8 12 13 14 15 17 21
41. NE MISSOURI 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 8 8 9 11
42. NW MISSOURI 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 8 8 10 11 14
43. E KANSAS 8
0 0 0 0 1 6 9 13 15 16 18 20 24
44. CENT KANSAS 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 7 11 12 13 14 15 17
45. W KANSAS 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 8 8 9 11
46. NE COLO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
47. SE COLO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
48. W COLO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
49. SW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50. CENT TENN 18
0 1 5 14 22 29 21 22 24 26 27 28 31
51. W TENN 22
0 1 6 14 22 30 24 27 30 33 39 45 52
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 12
0 0 0 0 4 11 13 19 21 24 27 30 35
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 14
0 0 0 3 10 17 17 23 25 28 32 36 43
54. TX W OF ABILENE 23
0 0 0 4 17 29 29 38 43 49 57 63 71
55. N HI PLAINS TX 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 7 11 12 14 16 17 20
56. N GEORGIA 34
16 21 26 31 35 38 41 44 46 48 51 55 60
57. N ALABAMA 42
21 27 32 39 43 47 51 55 57 60 64 68 75
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 61
30 37 44 53 60 65 70 75 81 88 98 109 123
59. S ARKANSAS 40
13 18 24 31 36 41 46 51 54 58 65 71 79
60. E TX 60
26 33 39 47 55 61 67 73 80 90 103 115 129
61. DALLAS REG TX 45
0 1 13 34 53 70 54 58 64 72 83 94 109
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 124
63 76 88 106 120 133 145 159 175 195 224 251 283
63. FAR S TX 227
132 155 175 199 222 242 261 282 304 334 378 416 461
64. W-CENT TX 52
0 2 15 38 59 79 63 70 79 90 105 118 135
65. W TX PANHANDLE 16
0 0 0 0 7 19 24 36 40 47 57 67 79
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 119
76 88 99 114 123 131 137 144 151 160 173 185 204
67. CENT FLA 290
202 225 246 273 293 310 327 346 366 390 423 453 489
68. S FLA 421
304 335 363 400 428 452 476 502 529 564 614 657 709
69. FLA PANHANDLE 96
52 64 74 87 97 106 114 121 129 138 152 165 184
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 112
62 75 88 104 116 126 134 143 153 165 183 203 229
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 105
58 69 80 95 106 115 125 136 148 165 190 214 244
72. NW WASH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3
74. CENT WASH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 6
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
76. COASTL WASH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
77. E IDAHO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
79. SW IDAHO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
80. E OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
82. OREG COAST 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
83. NE UTAH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3
84. SE UTAH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
85. W UTAH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
86. NE NEVADA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
87. NW NEVADA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 13 15 18
89. N CALIF COAST 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 24
90. CENT NEVADA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 7
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 17 20 25 30 36
92. CENT CALIF COAST 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 21 22 26
93. S CALIF COAST 17
0 0 0 3 13 23 23 31 34 39 47 54 64
94. SE CALIF 45
0 0 0 12 31 50 51 67 75 85 100 114 130
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 26
0 0 3 20 34 49 42 52 57 64 74 83 95
96. SW ARIZONA 71
41 50 59 71 80 89 96 104 113 124 140 154 171
97. NE ARIZONA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
98. SE ARIZONA 13
0 0 0 0 0 10 21 33 36 40 47 54 62
99. N NEW MEX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
100. E NEW MEX 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 9 11 13 16
101. CENT NEW MEX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3
102. S NEW MEX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 5 7 10
$$