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FNUS73 KLBF 152029
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Spot Forecast for Chase Wildfire...Chase county fire
National Weather Service North Platte NE
329 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on September 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact the NWS North Platte office at 308-532-0921 (or
at 1-800-603-3562) if you have any questions or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Strong gusty winds will continue at the fire site through this evening with
potential for gusts around 35mph through sunset. Will diminish slightly tonight
though gusts around 25mph are expected to persist through the overnight hours.
Humidity will be around 30 percent through sunset with a slow recovery to around
90 percent by daybreak Monday morning.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected this evening into early tonight, initially
reaching the fire location by 330PM MDT. Winds near the showers and thunderstorms
may become erratic with gusts at or above 45mph. Storms may approach severe levels
with potential for wind gusts at or above 60mph and large hail, mainly from 5PM MDT
onward. No severe thunderstorm watches are currently in effect.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 21 to 22 mph with gusts to
                    around 33 mph.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds around 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 low.

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   2
Temp............89  89
RH..............31  30
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..21  22
20 FT wind gust.33  33
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.13  13
Eye lvl wnd gst.20  20
Haines index....4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy then
                    becoming partly cloudy then becoming mostly
                    cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 17 to 22 mph. Gusts up to 36
                    mph in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 10 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 36
                    mph in the evening.
LAL.................1 increasing to 3 in the late evening and
                    overnight, then decreasing to 1 overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........37  33  42  56  58  47  56  49  41  38  40  33
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO             SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1
Temp............88  86  82  76  74  72  70  69  68  67  66  64
RH..............30  37  43  54  59  64  68  70  73  75  75  84
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..22  21  21  22  20  18  18  17  17  17  17  17
20 FT wind gust.34  35  31  32  30  29  26  26  26  26  26  26
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.13  13  13  13  12  11  11  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd gst.22  21  19  19  18  17  16  16  16  16  16  16
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 16 to 22 mph. Gusts up to 33
                    mph increasing to 36 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 10 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 33
                    mph increasing to 36 mph late in the afternoon.
LAL.................1 increasing to 3 late in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 1 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 very low.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  37  20  32  33  29  19  17  10  17  50  43
Weather cov.....                                        SCH
Weather type....                                        RW
Tstm cov........                                        SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   3   2
Temp............64  63  62  65  70  75  80  84  88  89  90  91
RH..............81  84  90  81  68  58  47  41  35  33  31  29
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..16  16  17  17  18  20  20  20  21  22  22  22
20 FT wind gust.25  24  26  26  29  31  32  32  33  33  35  36
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.10  10  10  10  11  12  12  12  13  13  13  13
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  14  16  16  17  19  19  19  20  20  21  22
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Sporer
Requested by...N/A
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422499.0/LBF
.DELDT 09/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ahatz@chasecountyne.gov