Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
793
FNUS53 KLBF 192003
FWFLBF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western
and North Central for Nebraska
National Weather Service North Platte NE
303 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024
.DISCUSSION...
After a reprieve from the very dry air and windy conditions today,
near critical fire weather returns tomorrow, especially for the
panhandle and western Sandhills. Southerly winds strengthen midday
ahead of an approaching surface trough that will help push
humidity values back down to around 15%. At this time, it appears
the lowest humidity (northern zone 204) will be offset from the
stronger winds (eastern zone 208 and zone 206). The axis of
strongest winds (gusts 25+ mph) also shifts eastward throughout
the afternoon. While brief or localized critical conditions cannot
be ruled out from along the Pine Ridge into the western
Sandhills, widespread or prolonged critical values are not
anticipated, precluding any headline at the moment. With that
said, the combination of wind and cured fuels will still promote
fire spread during the afternoon.
This weekend, a slow-moving storm system is still slated to affect
at least portions of the forecast area. As of now, it appears the greatest
potential for widespread rain and possibly significant moisture totals
lies along and south of Highway 2. Confidence in measureable
precipitation decreases quite a bit for far northern Nebraska,
mainly near and north of Highway 20. Blustery north winds and
much cooler temperatures (highs in the 60s and even 50s) will
accompany the rain.
Next week, temperatures moderate and conditions generally dry out
again. The threat of critical wind and humidity appears low.
NEZ204-201145-
Eastern Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR-
203 PM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....46-51.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........76 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East up to 5 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-7700 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....86-91.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........15 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-2700 ft AGL until 1200, then 3000-10700 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....51-56.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........87 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west after
midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-8500 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........31 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. North 15 to 25 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......500-3200 ft AGL until 1200, then 3300-5400 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 25 mph.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs around 70. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
70s.
$$
NEZ210-201145-
Frenchman Basin-
203 PM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....50-55.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........71 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast up to 5 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-6600 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....87-92.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-2400 ft AGL until 1200, then 3000-6500 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....55-60.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-5600 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the
afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....72-77.
24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 20 mph.
LAL.................1 increasing to 2 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-3000 ft AGL until 1200, then 3500-5700 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 25 mph.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Much cooler. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. North winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs around 70. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
70s.
$$
NEZ206-201145-
Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest-
303 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....48-53.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........76 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest up to 5 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-7500 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....86-91.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........21 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......300-2400 ft AGL until 1200, then 3200-7900 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....52-57.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-7000 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the
afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........31 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 20 mph.
LAL.................1 increasing to 2 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-3100 ft AGL until 1200, then 3300-5100 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 25 mph.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Cloudy with showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. North
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s.
$$
NEZ219-201145-
Loess Plains-
303 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........75 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest up to 5 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-6300 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....85-90.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast up to 5 mph increasing to south 10 to
15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-1900 ft AGL until 1200, then 2600-5800 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....57-62.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1 increasing to 2 after midnight.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-4500 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-78.
24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1 increasing to 3 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-2900 ft AGL until 1200, then 3400-5400 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph increasing to northeast
around 25 mph in the afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Much cooler. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
$$
NEZ208-201145-
Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National
Forest-
303 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....49-54.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........79 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West up to 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-7700 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....87-92.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........19 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South up to 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......300-2500 ft AGL until 1200, then 3400-9400 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 25 mph
in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....55-60.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-8600 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-700 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the
afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........31 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 20 mph.
LAL.................1 increasing to 2 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-3200 ft AGL until 1200, then 3200-4500 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 25 mph.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs around 60. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs around 70. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s.
$$
NEZ209-201145-
Loup Rivers Basin-
303 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....50-55.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........78 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest
after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-6900 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast up to 5 mph increasing to south 10 to
15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......300-2300 ft AGL until 1200, then 2900-6600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....56-61.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-5300 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....72-77.
24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north 10
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................2 increasing to 3 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-3100 ft AGL until 1200, then 3100-4600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
$$