Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
460
FNUS53 KLBF 010808
FWFLBF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western
and North Central for Nebraska
National Weather Service North Platte NE
308 AM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
A broad upper ridge over the Western US and an expansive surface
high pressure over the Great Plains will keep the dry pattern
going for Nebraska. Despite near or slightly below normal
temperatures today, humidity values will drop below 20% across the
entire region and below 15% for a portion of the panhandle and
Sandhills. When combined with strengthening southerly winds with
gusts to 30 mph this afternoon, critical fire weather conditions
are expected for areas near and west of Highway 83. A Red Flag
Warning has been issued for fire zones 204, 206, and 208. Tonight,
some gusty winds will remain in the heart of the Sandhills while
humidity recovery will be very poor. Max humidity values will
struggle to reach 50% for areas north of Highway 2.
More widespread critically low humidity is anticipated Wednesday,
including sub-10% values possible in the panhandle, as
temperatures rebound to summerlike levels. At this time, winds
appear light enough to preclude any headline. Gusty northerly
winds to start the day should actually wane throughout the
afternoon.
Another cool front will bring milder weather Thursday and Friday,
along with some bouts of gustier winds (but generally higher
humidity). The next period of greater concern comes Saturday as
temperatures shoot back up to around 90, humidity values drop
below 15%, and gusty southerly winds switch to northerly midday.
Trends will be monitored for potential red flag conditions.
NEZ204-012330-
Eastern Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR-
208 AM MDT Tue Oct 1 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy frost early in the morning.
Max temperature.....71-76.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........15 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest up to 5 mph increasing to south 10 to
20 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......300-2300 ft AGL until 1200, then 2900-4900 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
around 20 mph in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....43-48.
24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........57 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-4200 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....84-89.
24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north 10 to 15
mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-1900 ft AGL until 1200, then 2300-6600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the north in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Warmer, clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 80s. West winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 80s.
$$
NEZ210-012330-
Frenchman Basin-
208 AM MDT Tue Oct 1 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........17 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast up to 5 mph increasing to south 10 to
15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-2300 ft AGL until 1200, then 2800-5000 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....42-47.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........67 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-4700 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....88-93.
24 hr trend......20 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest
5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL until 1200, then 2200-6700 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Warmer, clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 90s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs
in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
80s.
$$
NEZ206-012330-
Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest-
308 AM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy frost early in the morning.
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........14 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest up to 5 mph shifting to the south 5
to 15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......300-2600 ft AGL until 1200, then 2900-5400 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph increasing to southwest
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....42-47.
24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........58 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-4800 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....86-91.
24 hr trend......18 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north 5
to 15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-1600 ft AGL until 1200, then 1900-6100 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Warmer, clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. West winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs
in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 80s.
$$
NEZ219-012330-
Loess Plains-
308 AM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........18 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-2600 ft AGL until 1200, then 3100-4800 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....43-48.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........63 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-4500 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....87-92.
24 hr trend......20 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........12 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-1300 ft AGL until 1200, then 1400-5800 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Warmer, clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs
in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
70s.
$$
NEZ208-012330-
Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National
Forest-
308 AM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy frost early in the morning.
Max temperature.....70-75.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........14 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......300-3400 ft AGL until 1200, then 3200-5700 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....47-52.
24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........48 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-5000 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....85-90.
24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........12 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 15 mph shifting to the north 5
to 10 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-1700 ft AGL until 1200, then 1800-5100 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the lower 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Warmer, clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. West winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs
in the mid 70s.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 80s.
$$
NEZ209-012330-
Loup Rivers Basin-
308 AM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........16 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-3000 ft AGL until 1200, then 3300-5300 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....46-51.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........55 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-4600 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....85-90.
24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........14 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west 5
to 15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.
Mixing height.......400-1600 ft AGL until 1200, then 1700-5300 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Warmer, clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs
in the mid 70s.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
$$