Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
333
FNUS53 KLBF 190850
FWFLBF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western
and North Central for Nebraska
National Weather Service North Platte NE
350 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Cooler temperatures and decreased winds should be enough to limit
fire weather concerns for Thursday. Stalled cool front from
Wednesday is pushing through the area west to east and invading
drier air in its wake should allow widespread humidity values to
fall below 40 percent and settle in the 25 to 30 percent range for
areas west of Highway 183. Much weaker winds, generally 20 mph or
less save for far northern Nebraska (Zone 208), will preclude
critical conditions.
For Friday, with the area caught between departing high pressure
and the approach of the storm system impacting the area over the
weekend we`ll see a return to strong southerly winds. Though this
should support increasing low-level moisture, a return to well
above normal temperatures will reintroduce sub twenty percent
afternoon humidities. Some uncertainty exists regarding overlap of
lowest humidity and strongest winds with gusts peaking at 30 mph
and this limits confidence enough to preclude headlines. That
said, elevated to near-critical fire weather conditions are likely
for much of western Nebraska with greatest concerns being for
Zones 204, 206, and 208.
A long duration rain event appears likely to impact at least
portions of the area this weekend. While rain may move in late
Friday, the majority of the expected rainfall will occur late
Saturday through early Sunday. QPF amounts exceeding 1.00" are
possible for areas south of Highway 92 with a sharp south to north
gradient. This could be the difference between 0.75" and less than
0.25" between locations of only 20-30 miles gap. Expect confidence
in more precise amounts to increase over the next 24 hours. Beyond
Monday, temperatures look to recover to above normal values and
while fire weather concerns may return, signals for higher end
concerns any one day in the forecast period remain limited.
NEZ204-192330-
Eastern Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR-
250 AM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....78-83.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........23 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-3900 ft AGL until 1200, then 4000-8100 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....47-52.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........79 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East up to 5 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-7600 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....84-89.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........16 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-2900 ft AGL until 1200, then 3000-10300 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Not as warm. Breezy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70. Northeast winds
15 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 10 to
20 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
$$
NEZ210-192330-
Frenchman Basin-
350 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 /250 AM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........25 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-2400 ft AGL until 1200, then 3000-6900 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....50-55.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........74 percent.
24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East up to 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-6600 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....87-92.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast up to 5 mph increasing to south 10 to
15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-2600 ft AGL until 1200, then 3100-6600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in
the mid 70s. Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
$$
NEZ206-192330-
Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest-
350 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 /250 AM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....79-84.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........24 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-3500 ft AGL until 1200, then 3600-8000 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....48-53.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........79 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest up to 5 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-7600 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....85-90.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........22 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South up to 5 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-2600 ft AGL until 1200, then 3300-7300 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
in the afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
North winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. North winds
10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
$$
NEZ219-192330-
Loess Plains-
350 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........24 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-2000 ft AGL until 1200, then 2500-6400 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest up to 5 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-6100 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....85-90.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast up to 5 mph increasing to south 10 to
15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-2200 ft AGL until 1200, then 2700-5800 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs
around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
$$
NEZ208-192330-
Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National
Forest-
350 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 /250 AM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....80-85.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........24 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-3900 ft AGL until 1200, then 3600-8200 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....49-54.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........83 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West up to 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-7700 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the southwest
after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....86-91.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........21 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South up to 5 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-2700 ft AGL until 1200, then 3300-8600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
in the afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
North winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs around 70.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
$$
NEZ209-192330-
Loup Rivers Basin-
350 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........27 percent.
24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-2500 ft AGL until 1200, then 3000-7000 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....50-55.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........83 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest
after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-6500 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South up to 5 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-2300 ft AGL until 1200, then 2900-6400 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
in the afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in
the mid 70s. North winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70.
$$