294
FXUS63 KLBF 042314
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
514 PM CST Wed Dec 4 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cold front continues to advance today, briefly cooling
  temperatures tonight and tomorrow

- Temperatures warm back up to end the week into the weekend
  with unseasonably warm conditions

- Dry through the weekend with some gusty winds across northern
  NE Saturday and across western and north central NE Sunday

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 336 PM CST Wed Dec 4 2024

A cold front draped across the northern Nebraska this
afternoon will continue to advance southward through the Sandhills
into southwest Nebraska through the evening hours. Mixing this
afternoon has led to some gusty winds across much of western and
north central Nebraska. Wind gust of 25 to 30 mph are expected
through the remainder of the afternoon with winds diminishing near
sunset. As the cold front passes, moisture is lacking with this
system and do not expect any precipitation with the frontal passage,
that being said a few flurries can`t be ruled out across far north
central Nebraska, but confidence was low enough that took the
mention of flurries out of the forecast.

As for high temperatures Thursday, northerly flow behind the front
will continue to usher in colder Canadian air into the forecast area
with north central Nebraska seeing the greatest impacts as highs are
forecast to only reach the 20s to low 30s. The forecast highs for
western Nebraska were a little more difficult because it will be
dependent upon how far west the cooler air is able to infiltrate
Thursday, especially as the colder air mass starts to moves eastward
by Thursday afternoon. Was a little more conservative for
temperatures across western Nebraska, keeping them in the low to mid
40s, but if the low with the associated colder air pushes east
quicker or the colder air mass doesn`t make it as far west as
expected, could not rule out temperatures across western Nebraska
making it into the 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 336 PM CST Wed Dec 4 2024

As the upper level low over the Great Lakes region moves eastward
into the northeast CONUS by late Thursday, colder air will move east
and upper level ridging to the west will usher in warmer air with a
westerly flow. Highs on Friday will be around 5 to 10 degrees above
the normal for this date with temps mostly in the 50s.

Pattern will persist into Saturday with westerly flow and ridging
across the western CONUS and will again see unseasonably warm
temperatures with highs reaching the mid to upper 50s. For
Sunday, temperatures are currently forecast in the 50s, however
will have to watch as there is some concern the forecast temps
may be too "cool". As a front begins to advance into the area on
Sunday, there could be some compressional heating out ahead of
the front and we could see temperatures not out of the realm of
the low to mid 60s.

The cold front will push through the entire forecast area by late
Sunday and will see colder temperatures behind the front for Monday.
Highs will be in the 30s to low 40s. At this time moisture is
lacking and the front should pass through mainly dry, just bringing
colder air, with low confidence in seeing any impactful precip with
the system.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 509 PM CST Wed Dec 4 2024

VFR conditions prevail across western and north central Nebraska
through the period. Gusty northwest winds subside late this
evening, becoming light and variable overnight. Winds will
become out of the south Thursday afternoon at 15 kts or less.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Viken