142
FXUS63 KLBF 071118
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
618 AM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and thunderstorms persist through the early morning
  hours, ending around mid morning. In addition to showers and
  thunderstorms, there is a chance for patchy fog development
  through early morning.

- A cold front pushes through the region tonight into early
  Sunday morning. This front will bring another chance of
  showers and thunderstorms late this evening into the overnight
  hours, as well as gusty northwest winds.

- Temperatures gradually warm up Monday through Wednesday, with
  highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s by mid week.

- A series of disturbances late week reintroduces the chance
  for showers and thunderstorms late week into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 207 AM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

A batch of showers and thunderstorms are ongoing across the
Sandhills, southwest Nebraska, and north central Nebraska early this
morning. These showers and storms will persist through mid morning,
before tracking east out of the region. Given the deep layer
moisture and relative lack of CAPE, expect that ongoing storms
remain sub-severe, though cannot rule out some sporadic gusty winds
in and around the stronger cells. In addition to thunderstorms, the
high humidity across the region and light surface winds will be
supportive of fog development through the early morning hours again.
However, if fog does redevelop, not expecting that it will be as
dense as fog last night. Any fog that may develop is expected to
clear out shortly after sunrise.

After showers and thunderstorms clear out this morning, the rest of
the day is expected to be relatively pleasant. Skies clear out with
highs pushing into the low 80s. Winds are expected to remain out of
the west throughout the day, and cannot rule out some gusts of 15 to
20 miles per hour. Throughout the day, a cold front will be tracking
south across the Dakotas, with frontal passage expected in north
central Nebraska later this evening. As the cold front tracks into
the region, it brings another chance of showers and thunderstorms
late tonight into the overnight hours. With the storms arriving late
in the night and the given environment, severe weather is not
expected. Along with the showers and thunderstorms, the cold front
brings some gusty northwesterly winds across the region, with gusts
around 25 to 30 miles per hour. This also brings some slightly
cooler weather on Sunday, with highs topping out in the mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 207 AM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

By Sunday night, the upper level low tracks across northern
Minnesota, with upper level ridging developing across the western
United States. Ridging remains in place across western Nebraska
through mid week, bringing a dry forecast through Wednesday night.
Along with the ridging, temperatures gradually warm up from Monday
through Wednesday. Highs on Monday are generally expected to be in
the mid 70s, with highs by Wednesday in the upper 80s and possibly
lower 90s.

Wednesday afternoon, a shortwave begins to track across the western
United States. By Wednesday evening, this shortwave begins to track
across the Rocky Mountains, helping to flatten out the ridge. A
larger trough is expected along to arrive along the Pacific Coast,
setting up a more active upper level pattern for late week. This
pattern will reintroduce chances of precipitation late week into the
weekend. Worth mentioning that this time period is also highlighted
by a CPC outlook for above average temperatures and precipitation.
Current guidance suggests highs in the mid to upper 80s, which is
slightly warmer than the typical high at North Platte for mid June.
For reference, the average high is around 83 to 84 degrees. However,
there is still a bit of spread in potential temperatures by the end
of the week, so will continue to monitor trends throughout the week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 617 AM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the effective TAF period
across western and north central Nebraska. Winds will be mostly out
of the west this afternoon, but will shift to northerly and
northwesterly this evening as a cold front tracks across the region.
Along with the wind shift, winds become gusty along and behind the
front, with wind gusts persisting into Sunday beyond the TAF period.
The front may also generate some showers and thunderstorms, but
given the more isolated nature, will omit from TAFs for the time
being until confidence increases on impacts and timing at local
terminals.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Richie
LONG TERM...Richie
AVIATION...Richie