349
FXUS63 KLBF 070916
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
316 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A warm front and disturbance aloft will bring a chance for
  light snow across north central Nebraska, with flurries
  possible across the south. Highs today from the mid 20s to low
  30s east, to upper 30s to low 40s west.

- Well above average temperatures of 45 to 55 Monday and 55 to
  65 Tuesday return, with dry and breezy conditions each day.

- Much colder temperatures (highs in the teens to 30s) return by
  late week, along with some threat for light snow Wednesday
  through Thursday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 316 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

A shortwave trough in northwesterly H5 flow was currently
located from central Montana south into central Colorado. This
shortwave trough will advance eastward and push a warm front
east across much of Nebraska and South Dakota today. This will
shunt the shallow arctic airmass eastward and lead to a wide
range in high temperatures, with middle 20s east of Highway 183
to lower to middle 40s west of HWY 61. The approach of this
front will also lead to increasing low level isentropic upglide,
and looks to be enough to lead to a fast moving band of light
snow from west to east through the afternoon, mainly across
north central Nebraska. Little to no accumulation is expected,
largely tied to the limited duration of snowfall at any given
location. Still, brief visibility reductions will be possible
and could lead to minor travel concerns. Flurries possible
further south into southwest Nebraska this morning to early
afternoon.

Clearing skies tonight with lows again fall into the upper
teens to low 20s, though warm advection will begin to increase
towards daybreak Monday.

On Monday, a weak surface trough will move east as westerly
winds increase to 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. The downsloping
winds will mix down warmer air aloft for highs from the upper
40s to near 50 north and low to mid 50s south.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 316 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

A strong clipper system will track southeast into the Dakotas
on Tuesday. An associated surface trough pushes into eastern
Nebraska, and leads to strong westerly winds across all of
western and north central Nebraska. Westerly wind gusts in
excess of 35 mph are looking increasingly likely for areas west
of HWY 83. The strong downsloping winds will mix down very mild
H85 temperatures as warm as 10-12C to the surface, leading to
highs of at least 60 most locations, and even near 65 in the
southwest. Humidity does not look to decrease to critical
thresholds Tuesday, although the combination of mild
temperatures and strong west winds could lead to a period of
elevated fire weather concerns.

As this clipper system begins to approach the Great Lakes Tuesday
night, a cold front will quickly push through the area from
northwest to southeast. This will bring in a cooler airmass on
Wednesday, with highs contrasting from the mid 30s far
northeast to near 50 far southwest.

A second reinforcing cold front then pushes through the area on
Wednesday night, bringing much colder air to all of western and
north central Nebraska on Thursday, with highs only from the mid
20s to around 40. This cold air then looks to stick around
through at least Saturday, with highs remaining below average
in the teens to 20s Friday, and upper teens to upper 30s
Saturday.

Snow chances return Wednesday through Thursday night. Though
amounts remain unclear, a growing signal exists in ensemble
guidance from the GEFS and ECMWF, for at least light accumulating
snow middle to late next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1136 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Stratus continues to sag southward across the Sandhills and
north central Nebraska including KVTN and KLBF terminals where
lower cigs have led to MVFR to LIFR conditions tonight. Lower
clouds are expected to stick around until Sunday afternoon with
VFR conditions returning by Sunday afternoon. Some patchy fog
has developed across the northern Sandhills, including KVTN
terminal with lower visibilities. Winds will generally be out of
the northwest overnight around 10 to 15 kts with gust up to 20
kts across portions of the southern Sandhills. Winds will
become southwesterly by Sunday afternoon around 5 to 10 kts.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Gomez