110
FXUS63 KLBF 241717
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1217 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures are expected to remain below average through the
  week, with high temperatures around 10 to 15 degrees below
  normal.

- Precipitation chances persist throughout the week, with the
  best chances across western and southwestern Nebraska.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 227 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

An upper level low is located over north central Ontario, with an
upper level trough located over the Great Lakes region into the Plains.
An upper level high is observed over the Four Corners region, with
subtropical moisture advection occurring over the Rockies, into the Plains.
At the surface, high pressure builds across the northern Plains into
north central Nebraska.

In vicinity of the low across western Colorado, showers and thunderstorms
persist through the morning across southwest Nebraska. Skies remain cloudy
this afternoon, which helps limit daytime highs in the low to mid 70s across
the region. This afternoon, though skies remain cloudy, we should get a
brief reprieve from precipitation. By the late evening, additional shower
and thunderstorm activity is expected to develop off the higher terrain to
the west, tracking southeast. Some of these storms track into southwestern
Nebraska, bringing additional rainfall, mainly along and south of Interstate
80. Showers are expected to persist overnight, lasting into
early Monday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 227 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Throughout the week, northwesterly flow aloft is expected to continue,
along with several low pressure systems along the front range of the
Rockies. This set up brings near daily chances for showers and thunderstorms
across western and southwestern Nebraska through the week. In combination with
surface high pressure, temperatures are expected to remain cooler than
average throughout the week. Temperatures are currently expected to
remain around 10 to 15 degrees below average, with highs remaining in the 70s
through most of the week. By the end of the week, temperatures may begin to slightly
warm back to the upper 70s, potentially into the lower 80s, but this would
still remain cooler than our normal highs, which are around 85
to 87 degrees.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Low stratus will continue to lead to MVFR CIGs across portions
of southwest Nebraska this afternoon and evening. In addition,
scattered thunderstorm development will be possible through
tonight across southwest Nebraska, leading to brief MVFR
visibilities and gusty, erratic winds.

Low stratus will expand into the Sandhills tonight, and lead to
MVFR/locally IFR CIGs into Monday morning. This low stratus
will slowly erode tomorrow afternoon, with a return to VFR
expected for all area terminals.

Winds remain east-southeasterly outside of thunderstorms, at
around 5 to 10kts.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Richie
LONG TERM...Richie
AVIATION...Brown