River Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
506 FGUS53 KKRF 161405 RVFKSR RIVER FORECAST NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO 1404Z THU OCT 16 2025 : : THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION. : REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST. : FORECAST GROUP IS KANSAS : ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 48 hours of QPF :________________________________________________________________ :FORT RILEY, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.7 FT AT 1330Z ON OCT 16 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 : .ER FTRK1 20251016 Z DC202510161404/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 1016 : / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E2 : 1017 : / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E3 : 1018 : / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E4 : 1019 : / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E5 : 1020 : / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 .E6 : 1021 : / 4.6 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 0.04 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending Oct 16 at 13Z is 0.04 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 1016 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 1017 / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.02 / 0.03 : 1018 / 0.00 : :Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending Oct 18 0.06 inches :________________________________________________________________ :WAMEGO, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 17.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.6 FT AT 1330Z ON OCT 16 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.6 : .ER WMGK1 20251016 Z DC202510161404/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 1016 : / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E2 : 1017 : / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E3 : 1018 : / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E4 : 1019 : / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E5 : 1020 : / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E6 : 1021 : / 3.5 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 0.01 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending Oct 16 at 13Z is 0.01 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 1016 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 1017 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.04 / 0.06 : 1018 / 0.01 : :Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending Oct 18 0.11 inches :________________________________________________________________ :TOPEKA, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 44.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.9 FT AT 1330Z ON OCT 16 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 6.1 / 6.1 / 6.1 / 6.0 : .ER TPAK1 20251016 Z DC202510161404/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 1016 : / 5.9 / 5.8 / 5.8 .E2 : 1017 : / 5.7 / 5.7 / 5.7 / 5.6 .E3 : 1018 : / 5.6 / 5.6 / 5.6 / 5.6 .E4 : 1019 : / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 .E5 : 1020 : / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 .E6 : 1021 : / 5.5 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending Oct 16 at 13Z is 0.00 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 1016 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 1017 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.04 / 0.16 : 1018 / 0.02 : :Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending Oct 18 0.22 inches :TOPEKA, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP :LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE 1.700 KCFS AT 1230Z ON OCT 16 : .ER TPAK1 20251016 Z DC202510161404/DH18/QRIFFZZ/DIH6 :Flow Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 1016 : / 1.642 / 1.570 / 1.518 .E2 : 1017 : / 1.476 / 1.437 / 1.415 / 1.395 .E3 : 1018 : / 1.377 / 1.362 / 1.347 / 1.331 .E4 : 1019 : / 1.314 / 1.298 / 1.285 / 1.277 .E5 : 1020 : / 1.271 / 1.267 / 1.263 / 1.259 .E6 : 1021 : / 1.255 : :________________________________________________________________ :TOPEKA 4 NW, KS - SOLDIER CREEK HSA - TOP :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 27.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 40.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE -0.1 FT AT 1400Z ON OCT 16 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / -0.1 / -0.1 / -0.1 / -0.1 : .ER TOPK1 20251016 Z DC202510161404/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 1016 : / -0.1 / -0.1 / -0.2 .E2 : 1017 : / -0.2 / -0.2 / -0.2 / -0.2 .E3 : 1018 : / -0.3 / -0.3 / -0.3 / -0.2 .E4 : 1019 : / -0.2 / -0.3 / -0.3 / -0.3 .E5 : 1020 : / -0.3 / -0.3 / -0.3 / -0.3 .E6 : 1021 : / -0.3 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 0.01 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending Oct 16 at 14Z is 0.01 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 1016 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 1017 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.04 / 0.14 : 1018 / 0.03 : :Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending Oct 18 0.21 inches :________________________________________________________________ :LECOMPTON 1 NE, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.8 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.8 FT AT 1330Z ON OCT 16 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 : .ER LCPK1 20251016 Z DC202510161404/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 1016 : / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.6 .E2 : 1017 : / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E3 : 1018 : / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E4 : 1019 : / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E5 : 1020 : / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E6 : 1021 : / 2.3 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending Oct 16 at 13Z is 0.00 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 1016 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 1017 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.03 / 0.29 : 1018 / 0.04 : :Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending Oct 18 0.36 inches :________________________________________________________________ :DESOTO 1 N, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.7 FT AT 1345Z ON OCT 16 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.8 : .ER DSOK1 20251016 Z DC202510161404/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 1016 : / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E2 : 1017 : / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.4 .E3 : 1018 : / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E4 : 1019 : / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E5 : 1020 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E6 : 1021 : / 4.2 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending Oct 16 at 13Z is 0.00 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 1016 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 1017 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.02 / 0.31 : 1018 / 0.08 : :Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending Oct 18 0.41 inches :DESOTO 1 N, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - EAX :LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE 1.640 KCFS AT 1245Z ON OCT 16 : .ER DSOK1 20251016 Z DC202510161404/DH18/QRIFFZZ/DIH6 :Flow Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 1016 : / 1.890 / 1.875 / 1.836 .E2 : 1017 : / 1.771 / 1.688 / 1.600 / 1.521 .E3 : 1018 : / 1.456 / 1.406 / 1.368 / 1.339 .E4 : 1019 : / 1.316 / 1.297 / 1.283 / 1.274 .E5 : 1020 : / 1.270 / 1.265 / 1.260 / 1.256 .E6 : 1021 : / 1.255 : :________________________________________________________________ :LAKE QUIVIRA 1 NW, KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 23.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 10.0 FT AT 1345Z ON OCT 16 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 10.0 / 10.0 / 10.0 / 10.0 : .ER KLQK1 20251016 Z DC202510161404/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 1016 : / 10.0 / 10.0 / 10.0 .E2 : 1017 : / 10.0 / 10.0 / 9.9 / 10.0 .E3 : 1018 : / 10.0 / 9.9 / 9.8 / 9.7 .E4 : 1019 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.6 .E5 : 1020 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 .E6 : 1021 : / 9.6 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 1015 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending Oct 16 at 13Z is 0.00 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 1016 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 1017 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.27 : 1018 / 0.11 : :Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending Oct 18 0.39 inches :**************************************************************** :COMMENT : : :HSA - Hydrologic Service Area :WFO - Weather Forecast Office :TOP - NWS WFO Topeka, Kansas :EAX - NWS WFO Pleasant Hill, Missouri :OBS - Observed :EST - Estimated :M - Missing :Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation :Flow Fcst - River Flow forecast including future precipitation :Precip - Precipitation :QPE - Observed radar estimated precipitation :QPF - Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin : : $$ :MBRFC bds :...END of MESSAGE...