Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
396 FXUS62 KKEY 160236 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1036 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... -Drier air draped across the Florida Keys will permit only slight rain chances, as well as lower dew points to prevail for the next several days. -Bouts of breezy conditions will commence on Friday, lasting through the early part of the weekend. -A Coastal Flood Statement is in effect for all of the Florida Keys island communities. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025 Surface analysis highlights expansive high pressure continuing to build over the Eastern Seaboard. Available land- based surface observations are sampling dew points in Florida- comfortable upper 60s to near 70 degrees across the Island Chain. GOES available nighttime imagery is detecting mostly clear skies, with KBYX and KAMX available Doppler radars void of any meteorological echo returns. While a light passing shower cannot be ruled out in the generally moderate northeasterly steering flow, chances are quite low, given substantial dry air above the 900 mb isobaric level. No changes required to the inherited overnight forecast. && .MARINE... Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025 From synopsis, high pressure will prevail over the area, and will maintain moderate northeasterly breezes through Thursday. Expect a tighter pressure gradient to develop Thursday night, and fresh breezes are possible through the first half of the weekend. Drier air pushing south from the eastern CONUS will keep shower coverage at isolated to low-end scattered levels. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at both island terminals through 00z Thursday evening, with only passing fair weather cumulus clouds based between FL025-FL040 expected. Northeasterly surface winds will remain sustained near 10 knots throughout the TAF period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Key West 86 76 85 76 / 10 10 10 30 Marathon 85 75 84 76 / 10 10 20 30 && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...BT Aviation/Nowcasts....BT Data Acquisition.....JAM Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest