Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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531
FNUS73 KJKL 171055 AAA
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for Mt. Victory Rx Burn...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
655 AM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...Low Relative Humidity This Afternoon...

.DISCUSSION....Surface high pressure has crested over the central
Appalachians earlier this past night which will now allow a
strong warm up to commence. Clouds increase again this morning as
an upper level disturbance approaches and then brings a small
chance for a passing shower during the afternoon and early
evening. After a dry and breezy day on Friday, better rain chances
arrive over the weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Dewpoint............35.
Max apparent temp...70.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 3 to 6 mph shifting to the south 6 to
                    7 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 8 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (100 knot-ft) increasing to poor (15700
                    knot-ft) late in the morning.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 27.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  18  22  38  56  59  69  72  84  89
Weather cov.....                            SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  20  30  30
Temp............41  47  55  61  65  67  68  70  70  70
Dewpoint........34  35  37  36  35  35  34  34  33  34
RH..............76  63  51  39  33  30  28  26  25  26
Aparnt tmp (F)..41  47  55  61  65  67  68  70  70  70
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   5   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.5   6   7   8   9   9   10  10  10  10
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   5   6   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.6 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.3   5   7   8   8   7   7   7   8   8
LVORI...........4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............3   5   15  23  24  25  26  26  26  27
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0   3   10  16  17  18  18  18  18  19
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (5-15 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........57 percent.
Dewpoint............38.
Max apparent temp...70.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 3 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (6300 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (1100
                    knot-ft) early in the evening.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 to 22.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........95  70  50  37  14  7   6   5   4   4   5   14
Weather cov.....CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............70  69  65  62  60  58  57  57  57  57  56  56
Dewpoint........36  38  38  38  39  39  39  39  39  39  39  40
RH..............29  32  37  41  46  49  51  51  51  51  53  55
Aparnt tmp (F)..70  69  65  62  60  58  57  57  57  57  56  56
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   5   2   3   3   2   2   3   5
20 FT wind gust.10  9   9   10  10  12  12  12  13  14  14  16
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   3   5   5   3   3   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   9   9   9   8   8   8   9   10
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............22  5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15  6   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Dewpoint............41 increasing to 43 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Max apparent temp...79.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......South 8 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph increasing to 22 to 28 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Poor (1800 knot-ft) increasing to good (65700
                    knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 91 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  23  33  18  22  24  31  34  37  34  30  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  57  59  62  66  70  73  75  77  78  79  80
Dewpoint........40  41  42  43  45  45  45  45  45  44  42  43
RH..............57  55  53  50  47  41  37  34  32  30  27  27
Aparnt tmp (F)..55  57  59  62  66  70  73  75  77  78  79  79
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   10  10  12  10  13  14  14  13  12
20 FT wind gust.17  17  18  20  21  23  24  24  24  25  25  24
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..8   9   9   12  12  13  12  14  14  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  16  22  25  28  28  28  28  28  26
LVORI...........3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............5   12  13  17  44  64  78  84  88  90  91  87
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   3   10  30  45  54  66  71  74  75  72
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...GREIF
Requested by...Heidi Braunreiter
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510451.0/JKL
.DELDT 04/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL heidi.braunreiter@ky.gov