272
FNUS73 KJKL 131055 AAA
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for White Oak RX...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
555 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2300 EST on November 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will keep the area dry for most of the
day with winds of 5 to 6 mph generally from the southeast during
the afternoon while RH bottoms out near 35 percent. As the high
pressure retreats to the east, we will see a wetting rainfall
arrive tonight in advance of a cold front and low pressure system
passing through the Ohio Valley. The potential for a soaking
rainfall continues to increase with this system as such
probabilities are now between 90 and 100% for at least 0.50 inch
of rainfall across the majority of the eastern Kentucky. Another
high pressure system follows that front with a subsequent
seasonably cool, dry spell lasting through the upcoming weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (300 knot-ft) increasing to poor (10600
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........3      9      26     36     56     60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............42     45     54     61     65     65
RH..............79     79     61     49     41     37
20 ft wind......N 0    E 1    SE 5   SE 5   SE 6   SE 6
20 ft wind gust.5      7      10     13     15     13
Mix hgt (ft)....100    200    700    1400   1500   1300
Transport wind..E 5    SE 7   SE 12  SE 12  SE 13  SE 13
Haines index....5      5      4      4      4      5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0      1      8      14     16     15
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers
                    likely in the evening. Rain showers in
                    the overnight. Patchy fog.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 16 mph shifting to the south 13
                    to 18 mph after 3 am.
Vent Rate...........Poor (2600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........84        100       100       100
Weather cov.....S CHC     DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20        90        90        100
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............61        51        47        48
RH..............48        77        93        96
20 FT wind......SE 3G10   SE 3G10   SE 5G14   SE 5G14
Mix hgt (ft)....600       400       400       500
Transport wind..SE 9      SE 10     SE 14     S 18
Haines index....5         5         3         3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5         4         5         9
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers early then a
                    chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph early shifting to the
                    southwest 10 to 15 mph in the
                    afternoon then west around 14 mph late.
Vent Rate...........Poor (0 knot-ft) increasing to poor (16700
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........100          100          87
Weather cov.....DEFNTE       DEFNTE       CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).100          80           50
LAL.............1            1            1
Temp............50           52           56
RH..............96           100          93
20 FT wind......S 5G13       S 6G15       SW 7G16
Mix hgt (ft)....500          800          1200
Transport wind..S 5          S 15         SW 10
Haines index....3            3            3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2            11           12
Ventrate Cat....POOR         POOR         POOR

$$
Forecaster...GREIF
Requested by...Andy Green
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2426380.0/JKL
.DELDT 11/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL andrew.green1@usda.gov