Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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190
FNUS73 KJKL 301049
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for Bear Creek RX...USFS
National Weather Service Jackson KY
549 AM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on November 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Light rain is possible ahead of a cold front this
morning. After frontal passage, colder and drier air will arrive
and persist through Monday. More significant precipitation is
possible in the Monday night-Tuesday time frame because of
a weather system passing to our south.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). A chance of rain in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 41.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Dewpoint............37 in the morning, then decreasing to 27
                    late in the afternoon.
Min apparent temp...32.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    west 5 to 6 mph in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 9 to 13 mph shifting to the west 6 to
                    8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph shifting to the west 13
                    to 18 mph in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Poor (7800 knot-ft) early, increasing to
                    marginal (32600 knot-ft) late in the morning.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................16 to 41.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 94  96  97  100 98  95  81  68  55  53
Weather cov.....SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  20  20  20  20  10  10  0   0   0   0
Temp............39  39  39  40  40  40  39  39  39  39  39  37
Dewpoint........33  34  35  36  38  37  36  36  33  31  28  27
RH..............79  82  85  85  92  89  89  89  79  73  64  67
Aparnt tmp (F)..32  32  33  34  35  35  33  34  34  34  35  32
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  12  9   9   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.18  17  14  15  17  20  18  17  16  16  15  10
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..13  13  10  10  9   9   9   8   8   8   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 1.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.17  15  16  18  21  21  18  18  17  17  16  13
LVORI...........3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   1   3
ADI.............21  16  18  27  38  36  31  29  30  41  32  21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12  8   10  19  33  30  25  23  25  29  30  18
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 23.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Dewpoint............24.
Min apparent temp...18.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 3 to 5 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast
                    6 to 7 mph late in the evening.
Vent Rate...........Poor (3000 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................3 to 7.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........51  49  45  41  38  38  38  38  40  43  46  45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............34  32  28  28  26  25  25  24  24  23  23  23
Dewpoint........26  25  24  24  23  23  22  22  22  22  22  22
RH..............72  75  85  85  88  92  88  92  92  96  96  96
Aparnt tmp (F)..30  29  28  24  26  25  25  24  24  18  18  18
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.7   6   3   6   3   3   3   3   3   6   6   6
Ridge wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
Ridge wind spd..5   5   3   5   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.6 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.10  7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   8   8   8
ADI.............7   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  3   6   5   4   7   6   6   6   6   7   6
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 45.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Dewpoint............23.
Min apparent temp...18.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......East 3 to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to
                    9 mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Poor (1700-13800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 to 20.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  45  40  36  32  28  23  19  30  40  50  61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............23  23  23  25  29  34  38  42  44  45  45  42
Dewpoint........21  22  22  22  22  22  22  21  22  22  23  25
RH..............92  96  96  88  75  61  52  43  41  40  41  51
Aparnt tmp (F)..18  18  18  21  25  31  38  42  44  45  45  42
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   5
Ridge wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.0 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   9   10  10  9   8   9   8   6   5
LVORI...........6   6   6   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............9   8   10  12  15  19  20  20  20  15  6   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   5   7   8   10  12  13  14  14  10  4   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...HAL
Requested by...David DeGennaro
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526638.6/JKL
.DELDT 11/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kykic@firenet.gov,david.degennaro@usda.gov