Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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879
FNUS53 KJKL 172101
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
401 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2024

.DISCUSSION...Humidity levels will continue an upward trend through
early this week, with high clouds today transitioning to low
clouds tonight and Monday. The next opportunity for a wetting rain
(60 to 70% chance for at least 0.25 inch) comes Monday night and
Tuesday with a cold front. A trailing upper level low will bring
much colder temperatures and possibly some wintry precipitation
for Thursday into Friday.


KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-180930-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
401 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30           90
Precip type           None         None         showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      41-50 (+16)  63-64 (-1)   44-55        64-65
Rh % (24H TREND)      89-100 (+1)  61-79 (+32)  83-100       68-91
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   S 2-6 G16
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 2-6 G16
Precip duration                                 1            5
Precip begin                                                 Continuing
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.27
LAL                   1            1            2            2
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 1900                      1000
Transport wnd (mph)                S  6                      SW 17
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  9500                      15000
ADI Early             4            6            4            20
ADI Late              5            13           11           22
Max LVORI Early       8            9            8            6
Max LVORI Late        9            4            8            5

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-180930-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
401 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            40           90
Precip type           None         None         showers      tstms
Temp (24H TREND)      40-49 (+13)  61-66 (-1)   46-55        62-65
Rh % (24H TREND)      86-100 (+1)  54-87 (+43)  80-100       66-91
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   S 3-7 G18
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 3-7 G18
Precip duration                                 1            5
Precip begin                                                 Continuing
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.36
LAL                   1            1            2            2
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 2800                      700
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  6                     SW 17
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  14000                     10500
ADI Early             4            12           5            19
ADI Late              6            20           15           19
Max LVORI Early       8            8            8            5
Max LVORI Late        9            4            7            6

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ079-083-180930-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
401 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            50           90
Precip type           None         None         showers      tstms
Temp (24H TREND)      43-49 (+12)  66-67 (-1)   51-57        65-66
Rh % (24H TREND)      96-100 (+1)  56-68 (+22)  83-100       76-91
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   S 6-10 G19
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      SE 2-6       Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G19
Precip duration                                 1            5
Precip begin                                                 Continuing
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.36
LAL                   1            1            2            2
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3200                      700
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  8                     SW 17
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  22400                     10500
ADI Early             3            18           8            20
ADI Late              5            28           17           19
Max LVORI Early       9            8            7            5
Max LVORI Late        9            3            6            6

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-180930-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
401 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            80
Precip type           None         None         None         showers
Temp (24H TREND)      40-51 (+16)  61-64 (-2)   44-55        63-66
Rh % (24H TREND)      89-100 (0)   61-88 (+47)  83-100       65-85
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip duration                                              4
Precip begin                                                 Continuing
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.32
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 2500                      600
Transport wnd (mph)                S  3                      SW 15
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  7500                      7800
ADI Early             4            8            4            16
ADI Late              5            14           10           17
Max LVORI Early       7            8            8            6
Max LVORI Late        8            5            8            5

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Rain showers likely and a chance of
snow showers. Colder. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Rain and snow showers likely.
Lows in the lower 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in
the lower 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.


$$