


Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
069 FNUS53 KJKL 161916 FWFJKL Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky National Weather Service Jackson KY 316 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 .DISCUSSION....Upper-level ridging will build into the region for Friday but will be short-lived as an approaching trough will cause the ridge to break down leading to southwesterly flow and warmer temperatures. Highs will climb into the low to upper 70s but the source region for moisture is overland leading to continued dry air and lowered afternoon minimum RHs which will be in the upper 20 to mid 30 percent range. Some short term models such as the HRRR have hinted there could be a line of showers that move through the area early Saturday morning, however, a layer of dry air near the surface will likely result in virga. The above mentioned trough will bring a cold front through the area beginning Saturday afternoon and provides a wetting rain through frontal passage on Sunday. Strong winds will accompany the front Sunday afternoon. Surface high pressure and dry weather return to the area for Monday. KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-170915- Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott- Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin- Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez 316 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy Mclear Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0 Precip type None None None None Temp (24H TREND) 35-45 (-4) 69-72 (+3) 46-57 79-82 Rh % (24H TREND) 73-100 (+16) 24-34 (-1) 74-100 41-51 20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 2-6 G14 20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 3-7 G15 Precip duration Precip begin Precip end Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2900 4500 Transport wnd (mph) SE 3 SW 15 Vent rate (kt-ft) 8700 58500 ADI Early 4 16 4 64 ADI Late 8 16 9 76 Max LVORI Early 5 6 3 5 Max LVORI Late 6 2 5 3 Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-170915- Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan- Owsley-Clay- Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Booneville, and Manchester 316 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0 Precip type None None None None Temp (24H TREND) 36-47 (-2) 71-76 (+5) 46-59 78-83 Rh % (24H TREND) 59-100 (+7) 22-46 (+9) 78-100 39-68 20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 G15 20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4-8 G17 Precip duration Precip begin Precip end Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3500 4100 Transport wnd (mph) SW 3 S 15 Vent rate (kt-ft) 10500 53300 ADI Early 4 16 4 56 ADI Late 7 18 10 66 Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 5 Max LVORI Late 5 2 6 3 Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ KYZ079-083-170915- Pulaski-Wayne- Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello 316 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0 Precip type None None None None Temp (24H TREND) 39-48 (-3) 76-77 (+4) 51-60 82-83 Rh % (24H TREND) 71-100 (+5) 30-43 (+5) 78-100 43-51 20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 5-9 G19 20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7-11 G20 Precip duration Precip begin Precip end Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3500 4900 Transport wnd (mph) SW 5 SW 16 Vent rate (kt-ft) 14000 68600 ADI Early 5 17 4 64 ADI Late 8 18 10 68 Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 5 Max LVORI Late 5 2 5 2 Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-170915- Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike- Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson 316 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0 Precip type None None None None Temp (24H TREND) 35-44 (-4) 70-73 (+5) 46-57 78-81 Rh % (24H TREND) 66-100 (+7) 21-28 (-7) 72-100 41-59 20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var 20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 2-6 Precip duration Precip begin Precip end Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3300 4600 Transport wnd (mph) W 3 SW 13 Vent rate (kt-ft) 9900 50600 ADI Early 4 12 4 59 ADI Late 6 13 10 71 Max LVORI Early 5 6 3 5 Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 3 Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. West winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. $$ GINNICK