Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
561
FNUS53 KJKL 182103
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
503 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION....Afternoon relative humidity bottomed out at
20 to 30 percent for most places this afternoon. Along with
this, sustained winds were around 15 mph with gusts around
30 mph, especially on ridges and over open terrain. This
brought Red Flag conditions to some locations. Winds will
diminish and relative humidity will increase as we head into
this evening, allowing conditions to improve to non-critical
levels area wide. Tonight will present a scenario very similar
to last night. Relative humidity recovery will be good in
eastern valleys, but poor on the ridges. Dew points and
relative humidity will be higher during the day on Saturday,
and winds will not be as strong. Our next likelihood of a
wetting rain is on Monday afternoon and night in associated
with a cold front.
KYZ052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-182230-
Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-
Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City,
Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville,
Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
503 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 82-85 (+16) 52-67 (+13) 81-84
Rh % (24H TREND) 16-26 (+5) 61-100 (+46) 27-45
20ftwnd-AM(mph) SW 5-9 G24
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SW 10-14 G29 SW 5-9 G16 W 5-9 G25
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 4200 3300
Transport wnd (mph) SW 28 SW 26
Vent rate (kt-ft) 100800 75900
ADI Early 9 84
ADI Late 107 9 104
Max LVORI Early 2 4
Max LVORI Late 2 3 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ044-050-051-182230-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, and Owingsville
503 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 82-85 (+18) 62-67 (+10) 79-80
Rh % (24H TREND) 18-30 (+7) 63-78 (+27) 40-56
20ftwnd-AM(mph) SW 9-13 G26
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SW 12-16 G32 SW 8-12 G21 SW 8-12 G26
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3700 2700
Transport wnd (mph) SW 30 SW 26
Vent rate (kt-ft) 96200 62100
ADI Early 12 65
ADI Late 105 12 71
Max LVORI Early 2 3
Max LVORI Late 2 3 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-182230-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
503 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 80-85 (+14) 56-65 (+10) 80-85
Rh % (24H TREND) 17-27 (+5) 63-93 (+38) 26-45
20ftwnd-AM(mph) SW 4-8 G23
20ftwnd-PM(mph) S 10-14 G29 S 6-10 G20 SW 4-8 G24
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3700 3000
Transport wnd (mph) S 25 SW 24
Vent rate (kt-ft) 81400 63000
ADI Early 10 72
ADI Late 98 9 86
Max LVORI Early 2 3
Max LVORI Late 2 3 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-182230-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
503 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 83-86 (+14) 59-65 (+7) 81-84
Rh % (24H TREND) 18-29 (+6) 65-83 (+35) 30-45
20ftwnd-AM(mph) SW 6-10 G24
20ftwnd-PM(mph) S 11-15 G29 S 7-11 G21 SW 6-10 G25
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3800 2600
Transport wnd (mph) S 25 SW 24
Vent rate (kt-ft) 83600 54600
ADI Early 11 67
ADI Late 90 9 77
Max LVORI Early 2 4
Max LVORI Late 2 3 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-182230-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
503 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 82-85 (+14) 52-65 (+13) 82-85
Rh % (24H TREND) 14-23 (+4) 62-100 (+37) 25-34
20ftwnd-AM(mph) SW 4-8 G22
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SW 10-14 G27 SW 5-9 G18 SW 4-8 G23
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 4400 3400
Transport wnd (mph) SW 29 SW 24
Vent rate (kt-ft) 110000 71400
ADI Early 8 80
ADI Late 113 9 99
Max LVORI Early 3 4
Max LVORI Late 2 4 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. East winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the upper
70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
$$
HAL