Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
069
FNUS53 KJKL 161916
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
316 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.DISCUSSION....Upper-level ridging will build into the region for
Friday but will be short-lived as an approaching trough will
cause the ridge to break down leading to southwesterly flow and
warmer temperatures. Highs will climb into the low to upper 70s
but the source region for moisture is overland leading to
continued dry air and lowered afternoon minimum RHs which will be
in the upper 20 to mid 30 percent range. Some short term models
such as the HRRR have hinted there could be a line of showers that
move through the area early Saturday morning, however, a layer of
dry air near the surface will likely result in virga. The
above mentioned trough will bring a cold front through the area
beginning Saturday afternoon and provides a wetting rain through
frontal passage on Sunday. Strong winds will accompany the front
Sunday afternoon. Surface high pressure and dry weather return to
the area for Monday.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-170915-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
316 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip type None None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 35-45 (-4) 69-72 (+3) 46-57 79-82
Rh % (24H TREND) 73-100 (+16) 24-34 (-1) 74-100 41-51
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 2-6 G14
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 3-7 G15
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2900 4500
Transport wnd (mph) SE 3 SW 15
Vent rate (kt-ft) 8700 58500
ADI Early 4 16 4 64
ADI Late 8 16 9 76
Max LVORI Early 5 6 3 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 5 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-170915-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
316 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip type None None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 36-47 (-2) 71-76 (+5) 46-59 78-83
Rh % (24H TREND) 59-100 (+7) 22-46 (+9) 78-100 39-68
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 G15
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4-8 G17
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3500 4100
Transport wnd (mph) SW 3 S 15
Vent rate (kt-ft) 10500 53300
ADI Early 4 16 4 56
ADI Late 7 18 10 66
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 5 2 6 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-170915-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
316 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip type None None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 39-48 (-3) 76-77 (+4) 51-60 82-83
Rh % (24H TREND) 71-100 (+5) 30-43 (+5) 78-100 43-51
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 5-9 G19
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7-11 G20
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3500 4900
Transport wnd (mph) SW 5 SW 16
Vent rate (kt-ft) 14000 68600
ADI Early 5 17 4 64
ADI Late 8 18 10 68
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 5 2 5 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-170915-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
316 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip type None None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 35-44 (-4) 70-73 (+5) 46-57 78-81
Rh % (24H TREND) 66-100 (+7) 21-28 (-7) 72-100 41-59
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 2-6
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3300 4600
Transport wnd (mph) W 3 SW 13
Vent rate (kt-ft) 9900 50600
ADI Early 4 12 4 59
ADI Late 6 13 10 71
Max LVORI Early 5 6 3 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the upper
60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
$$
GINNICK