Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
108
FNUS53 KJKL 062015
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
315 PM EST Wed Nov 6 2024
.DISCUSSION...A cold is gradually crossing the area but will not be
through until later Thursday evening. Showers and a few thunderstorms
leading to measurable rain are expected, with the highest forecast
probability for at least quarter of an inch of rain (60 to 90%) found
in the Cumberland and London Districts of the DBNF, with decreasing
probabilities to the southeast toward the Virginia border, where
probabilities are 10 to 30 percent. After a brief lull in rain
chances Thursday evening to Fri night when high pressure moves past,
chances for rain will return as another system crosses eastern
Kentucky to end the weekend and start the new week. That system looks
good to produce greater rainfall amounts for the region.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-070930-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City,
Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
315 PM EST Wed Nov 6 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Chance precip (%) 70 60 0 0
Precip type tstms showers None None
Temp (24H TREND) 57 (-9) 68 (-8) 43 67
Rh % (24H TREND) 100 (+26) 65 (+5) 100 37
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration 2 1
Precip begin 7 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 1 PM
Precip amount 0.32 0.09 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 4
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1800 2700
Transport wnd (mph) N 8 N 6
Vent rate (kt-ft) 12600 13500
ADI Early 1 11 4 18
ADI Late 4 12 4 21
Max LVORI Early 9 8 7 8
Max LVORI Late 10 4 8 2
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-070930-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Owsley-
Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Booneville,
and Manchester
315 PM EST Wed Nov 6 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 50 30 10 0
Precip type tstms showers showers None
Temp (24H TREND) 59 (-5) 73 (-5) 49 70
Rh % (24H TREND) 100 (+17) 71 (+13) 100 41
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration 1 1 1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.10 0.19 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3400 2700
Transport wnd (mph) N 8 N 7
Vent rate (kt-ft) 23800 16200
ADI Early 2 13 4 17
ADI Late 2 15 4 23
Max LVORI Early 9 10 9 8
Max LVORI Late 10 6 9 3
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-070930-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
315 PM EST Wed Nov 6 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 60 40 0 0
Precip type tstms showers None None
Temp (24H TREND) 61 (-7) 72 (-7) 49 70
Rh % (24H TREND) 100 (+18) 73 (+12) 100 41
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration 2 1
Precip begin 7 PM
Precip end Continuing
Precip amount 0.23 0.21 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1600 2600
Transport wnd (mph) N 9 NE 8
Vent rate (kt-ft) 12800 18200
ADI Early 2 10 5 19
ADI Late 1 12 6 27
Max LVORI Early 9 10 8 8
Max LVORI Late 10 5 8 2
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-070930-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
315 PM EST Wed Nov 6 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 50 40 20 0
Precip type showers showers showers None
Temp (24H TREND) 60 (-1) 71 (-7) 49 68
Rh % (24H TREND) 100 (+21) 74 (+19) 100 42
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration 1 1 1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.03 0.23 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2700 2700
Transport wnd (mph) N 8 N 6
Vent rate (kt-ft) 18900 13500
ADI Early 2 13 3 15
ADI Late 2 13 4 20
Max LVORI Early 8 10 8 8
Max LVORI Late 9 7 8 3
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 40s.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Warmer. Lows
in the mid 50s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs around 70.
South winds less than 10 mph.
$$
GREIF