Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
346 FNUS72 KJAX 050903 FWSJAX Spot Forecast for Ashley WF...NPS National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 503 AM EDT Tue Aug 5 2025 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on August 05. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... The sea breeze in will push inland around noon today with scattered showers and storms developing along. Highest chances for thunderstorms in the vicinity of the fire will be between 1700 and 2100 with chances lowering thereafter. Chaotic wind shifts and frequent lightning will be possible with storm activity. Light land breeze winds will develop overnight tonight into Wednesday. As a stalled front to the north slowly moves back toward the fire area Wednesday, a fairly similar prevailing wind and storm evolution is expected with increasing potential for strong to marginally severe storms. .TODAY... TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........32 20 14 18 19 23 26 30 26 27 30 53 Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 30 40 50 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 10 0 10 10 20 20 30 40 50 Temp............75 76 77 81 85 87 89 90 89 89 87 86 RH..............100 100 97 88 77 72 66 66 68 68 75 75 Heat index (F)..76 77 79 92 97 100 102 103 103 102 102 99 Wind chill (F)..76 77 79 83 86 88 90 91 90 90 89 87 20 FT wind dir..S S SW SW SW SW SE E E SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 7 7 7 9 10 12 12 12 Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.5 Transp wind dir.S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S SE SE Transp wind spd.8 8 8 7 7 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 Dispersion idx..4 4 9 12 14 15 16 19 20 21 20 18 LVORI...........6 6 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........66 75 78 64 69 64 65 56 56 30 36 26 Weather cov.....LKY DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........LKY DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).60 80 50 50 40 40 30 20 10 20 20 10 Chc of thdr (%).70 70 50 50 30 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 Temp............85 83 82 80 79 79 78 78 78 77 77 76 RH..............77 82 82 88 91 91 91 91 88 90 94 94 Heat index (F)..97 94 89 87 87 86 79 79 78 77 77 77 Wind chill (F)..86 84 82 80 80 80 79 79 78 77 77 77 20 FT wind dir..SE SW SE SE SE S S SE S S SW W 20 FT wind spd..6 6 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 20 FT wind gust.10 9 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 Transp wind dir.SE E NE E E SE SE SE SE S SW W Transp wind spd.9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 Dispersion idx..15 11 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 2 2 LVORI...........4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 .WEDNESDAY... TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........22 22 22 15 19 22 25 28 31 31 30 30 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 40 40 40 40 40 40 70 70 70 70 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 70 70 70 70 Temp............76 76 78 81 84 88 88 88 88 88 87 87 RH..............94 97 91 82 74 66 66 68 68 68 70 70 Heat index (F)..77 78 79 90 94 99 100 102 102 100 99 97 Wind chill (F)..77 78 79 82 84 87 88 89 89 88 87 86 20 FT wind dir..W W NW NW N N NE NE E E E E 20 FT wind spd..1 1 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.5 6 6 6 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.0 Transp wind dir.W NW NW NW N N N N NE NE NE E Transp wind spd.5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 Dispersion idx..2 2 5 9 14 21 22 24 26 26 26 25 LVORI...........7 8 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ Forecaster...Boothe Requested by...Patrick Lacienski Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2519095.2/JAX .DELDT 08/05/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL patrick_lacienski@nps.gov