Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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301
FNUS72 KJAX 100827
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for BURN 204...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
327 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on January 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Northeasterly flow shifts to become breezy and southerly by mid
afternoon as a warm front lifts through the area, leading to
temperatures reaching into the mid to upper 60s. RH values will
steadily increase as moisture moves into the area. Showers
expected to begin to sometime close to midnight on Friday night
and continue with scattered chances by mid day Saturday ahead of
an approaching cold front. A shift to west-northwest flow and
breezy winds on Saturday once the cold front passes through the
area, with a dry and cold airmass beginning to settle into the
area late Saturday.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  13  14  17  19  23  23  23  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............42  50  56  60  63  65  66  66  64
RH..............76  66  59  55  52  50  48  50  56
Heat index (F)..42  50  56  60  63  65  66  66  64
Wind chill (F)..38  47  56  60  63  65  66  66  64
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   10  10  10  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.10  13  14  16  16  16  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.0 2.3 2.9 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.6 1.3
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  12  13  14  15  16  15
Dispersion idx..9   11  28  36  44  50  56  57  24
LVORI...........4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........26  31  44  49  57  65  76  87  97  100 100 100
Weather cov.....                        SCH CHC LKY DEF CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  40  70  80  50  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  56  56  55  56  57  58  59  58  58  59  57
RH..............72  77  83  90  90  90  90  90  96  96  96  100
Heat index (F)..58  56  56  55  56  57  58  59  58  58  59  57
Wind chill (F)..58  56  56  55  56  57  58  59  58  58  59  57
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..10  9   9   12  12  13  14  14  13  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.16  14  14  17  17  20  21  21  20  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.14  13  15  17  20  21  22  22  20  17  15  15
Dispersion idx..10  9   13  15  17  19  20  20  18  16  14  13
LVORI...........3   4   4   5   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 95  91  84  82  80  77  75  66  57  48  44
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............55  57  55  57  58  57  57  56  56  55  55  53
RH..............100 93  96  86  80  77  75  72  66  66  61  64
Heat index (F)..55  57  55  57  58  57  57  56  56  55  55  53
Wind chill (F)..55  57  55  57  58  57  57  56  56  55  55  53
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   8   7
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  14  13  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.15  16  16  17  17  18  17  17  15  14  12  10
Dispersion idx..13  22  26  30  34  35  35  35  31  27  30  24
LVORI...........5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   1   2

$$
Forecaster...Cruz
Requested by...SFR FOLSOM
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500360.0/JAX
.DELDT 01/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brian.folsom@fdacs.gov