Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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288
FNUS72 KJAX 170600
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for 202 Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Bermuda ridge axis over north central FL today with scattered
thunderstorms developing this afternoon with southwesterly winds
5-10 mph. Thunderstorms will end near sunset with very light
south to southeast winds. Heat index values will top out 98-102.
Good dispersions expected.

Scattered Thunderstorms will again form Wednesday afternoon as
Bermuda ridge rises into north Florida turning winds southerly
5-10 mph. Storms will end in the early evening hours. Heat index
values will be around 100. Good dispersions expected at the site
on Wednesday.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  23  20  18  27  37  47  51  55  60
Weather cov.....                        SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  20  40  50  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  20  40  50  40
Temp............75  80  84  88  91  91  93  93  90  90
RH..............97  82  72  63  58  56  51  52  58  58
Heat index (F)..75  85  91  97  101 100 101 102 98  98
Wind chill (F)..75  80  84  88  91  91  93  93  90  90
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   5   5   5   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.2   3   3   7   7   7   9   9   9   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.3 4.8 5.3 4.5 3.3 2.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   7   7   7   7   8   8
Dispersion idx..6   13  23  35  41  42  45  37  32  22
LVORI...........7   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........60  52  49  47  44  42  39  36  26  18  16  21
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).50  50  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............87  85  81  79  78  77  75  74  74  73  72  71
RH..............65  70  82  88  88  90  94  97  93  97  97  100
Heat index (F)..95  93  87  79  78  77  75  74  74  73  72  71
Wind chill (F)..87  85  81  79  78  77  75  74  74  73  72  71
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.7   6   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..15  8   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   5   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   10

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  22  13  14  10  18  26  35  43  47  50  54
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  30  30  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  60  60  60  60
Temp............71  71  75  81  85  89  92  93  93  94  94  93
RH..............100 100 94  82  72  61  54  51  51  49  49  51
Heat index (F)..71  71  75  87  94  98  101 101 101 102 102 101
Wind chill (F)..71  71  75  81  85  89  92  93  93  94  94  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.2   2   3   3   6   6   6   7   7   6   6   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.8 1.8 2.8 3.8 4.6 5.4 6.2 5.5 4.9 4.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
Dispersion idx..2   3   6   15  24  31  37  43  49  43  35  30
LVORI...........10  9   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   2

$$
Forecaster...Bricker
Requested by...Riddle
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516074.0/JAX
.DELDT 06/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wesley.woodrome@usda.gov,JASON.RIDDLE@USDA.GOV