Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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647
FNUS72 KJAX 211224
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Thomas creek 2...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
724 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on January 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Increasing cloud cover and evening rain chances today will
yield poor to fair daytime dispersions with dispersion values
remaining low on Wednesday. Northerly winds today will shift
northeasterly by Wednesday evening and remain elevated. Mixed
precipitation is expected late tonight into Wednesday morning
as low temperatures drop below freezing. Precipitation will end
by mid-morning, but it may take some time for any frozen surfaces
to thaw. Another freeze is expected Wednesday night.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  83  82  55  66  74  80  90
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............41  44  46  48  49  49  48  45
RH..............70  70  68  68  66  66  65  68
Heat index (F)..41  44  46  48  49  49  48  45
Wind chill (F)..36  39  41  44  45  45  43  40
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.10  13  14  14  14  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.3 1.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  14  13  12  12  13  15  17
Dispersion idx..23  21  21  21  23  26  31  26
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........93  97  97  96  97  97  98  97  97  97  96  96
Weather cov.....CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50  80  90  90  100 100 90  100 100 80  70  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............42  38  34  32  32  29  30  29  29  28  27  27
RH..............70  79  92  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Heat index (F)..42  38  34  32  32  29  30  29  29  28  27  27
Wind chill (F)..36  31  26  24  25  21  22  22  22  21  20  19
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  9   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16  14  13  13  13  10  10  10  10  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.8 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.21  22  22  20  17  16  15  14  14  14  14  14
Dispersion idx..24  25  21  18  16  14  12  11  10  10  11  11
LVORI...........3   3   5   5   5   5   6   7   7   7   7   7

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96  84  90  65  60  56  51  47  45  42  40  44
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....FZR FZR FZR FZR RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  30  30  30  30  30  0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............27  27  28  28  29  32  36  40  40  40  41  39
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 96  82  73  73  76  73  79
Heat index (F)..27  27  28  28  29  32  36  40  40  40  41  39
Wind chill (F)..19  19  20  20  21  25  30  35  35  35  36  35
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  10  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.15  15  16  17  17  16  14  12  12  10  10  10
Dispersion idx..12  18  22  26  28  28  27  28  28  27  27  21
LVORI...........6   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Klingler
Requested by...Victor Taylor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500958.0/JAX
.DELDT 01/21/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL victor.taylor@fdacs.gov