Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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747
FNUS72 KJAX 240924
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for 215G Wildfire...USFS
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
524 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0611 EDT on August 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...LOW DISPERSION POSSIBLE TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...

Patchy fog expected this morning and again Monday morning. Otherwise, a
weakening frontal boundary will remain stalled near the GA/FL line today
with a good chance of showers and thunderstorms by the afternoon and
evening. Low mixing heights, light and variable 20 ft wind, and weak
transport winds will lead to low dispersion today, estimated to peak
only in the lower 20s.

The dry air front will sink into central FL on Monday as another cold
front moves into the forecast area. Drier air behind the front will
result in lower chances for storms next week.

.TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84  81  78  76  73  70  67  64  77  81  73  82
Weather cov.....ARS ARS PTY         SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG         RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  20  30  30  50  50  60  50
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  10  20  30  30  50  50  60  50
Temp............72  72  73  75  79  81  83  84  86  87  87  87
RH..............100 100 100 97  91  85  82  77  75  70  70  68
Heat index (F)..72  72  73  76  79  88  90  94  94  95  95  95
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   3   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.2 2.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.3   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
Dispersion idx..2   2   5   6   11  14  17  18  19  21  23  21
LVORI...........10  10  9   7   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........79  78  69  66  62  59  38  35  30  27  51  40
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH                 PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW                  FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  50  30  20  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).40  50  30  20  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............85  83  80  78  77  75  75  74  74  73  72  72
RH..............75  77  85  91  94  97  94  97  97  97  100 100
Heat index (F)..93  87  79  76  75  75  74  74  73  72  72  72
20 FT wind dir..W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   6   7   7   6   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..18  8   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........3   4   5   6   7   7   7   8   8   9   8   9

.MONDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  48  47  34  29  24  28  32  36  36  35  35
Weather cov.....PTY PTY                         CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....FOG FOG                         RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  50  50  50  50
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  50  50  50  50
Temp............71  71  72  76  80  84  87  88  89  90  90  89
RH..............100 100 100 97  91  80  72  68  64  62  60  61
Heat index (F)..72  72  73  76  85  93  96  99  99  99  98  97
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   2   2   3   3   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.3 1.3 2.3 3.3 3.9 4.5 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   9   9
Dispersion idx..3   2   4   8   14  24  30  39  44  51  57  60
LVORI...........9   10  9   6   5   3   3   3   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Shashy
Requested by...Riddle
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520212.5/JAX
.DELDT 08/24/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason.riddle@usda.gov