113
FXUS62 KJAX 010016
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
816 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 744 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Evening convection was winding down across inland areas with
robust thunderstorms fading into stratiform rainfall with embedded
thunder at times across our GA zones. Through midnight, the
better rain chances will focus across the Suwannee River Valley
specifically south of the I-10 corridor where evening radar from
KVAX showed a broad mesolow near Cedar Key. WSW flow around the
southern side of this meandering low under increasing SW flow
aloft will bring waves of showers and isolated storms inland at
times. The main concern will be localized heavy rainfall. Convection
will loose inland (eastward) momentum given a more stable airmass
generally east of Highway 301.

Mild & generally muggy conditions tonight with lingering debris
clouds. Lows will range in the 70s for most.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 744 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025

Evening storms are well west of the terminals with only TEMPO SHRA
for GNV over the next few hours as convection noses inland under
SSW winds from the Gulf. Elsewhere, multi-layered cloudiness will
gradually thin overnight with some low level stratus and brief
ground fog possible toward 12z. Convection will once again spread
inland from the Gulf through mid-morning Tue approaching GNV with
additional storms developing near the other terminals by early
afternoon with the east coast sea breeze. Given high confidence
(rain chances > 60%) tomorrow afternoon, continued with VCTS at
this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  71  87  71  87 /  50  80  30  80
SSI  74  88  75  87 /  20  60  30  80
JAX  72  91  73  90 /  30  60  20  90
SGJ  72  90  73  88 /  20  60  30  80
GNV  69  87  70  87 /  30  70  30  80
OCF  70  88  73  87 /  30  70  30  80

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$