


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
907 FXUS63 KIWX 110613 AFDIWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 213 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry today with decreasing clouds, with highs in the mid to upper 60s and low 70s. Lows tonight in the low to mid 40s. - Much of the next week will feature near to slightly above normal temperatures. Monday and Tuesday will be the warmest days with highs in the low to mid 70s. - No significant rainfall is expected in the next 7 to 10 days. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 210 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Pre frontal trough cleared the area prior to 6Z with some light returns noted on radar. While a stray sprinkle might have occurred 15 to 20 degree dewpoint depressions kept anything measurable at bay. Behind the trough a slight increase in dewpoints has occurred with very shallow low to mid 50s showing up prior to the arrival of the main front which had a brief very light shower along the lake shore. Skies will quickly clear near or after sunrise allowing temps to climb back into the mid 60s to low 70s as little in the way of CAA occurs behind the front despite the passage of a closed upper low to our NE. No sensible weather concerns exist through the weekend and at least the first part of the upcoming week as upper level ridging keeps ant disturbances NW of the area. A weak front makes an attempt to enter the area Tuesday night as the ridge flattens somewhat. Moisture will be cur off, likely resulting the NBM based slgt chc to low chc pops being overdone. Ridging builds back north into the Plains and eventually works east to maintain dry and seasonably warm conditions through at least Friday. Thereafter, a potentially more active pattern begins to setup with several disturbances to our west for the next weekend along with signs of increasing low level moisture possibly making a return. Models vary on potential impacts to the area, most of which would be confined to NW areas. Later periods riddled with slgt chc and chc pops as a result. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 132 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025 VFR conditions at the TAF sites with decreasing clouds through the period. A cold front will continue sinking southeastward through northern Indiana (just northwest of KFWA as of this writing). Expect winds to become more North-Northeast through the period, generally around 5 to 10 knots. There are a few observations around 3000-3500ft at the moment-including just upstream of KFWA, but it seems more intermittent. Have SCT035 for now, will amend if it appears the MVFR will be worth a tempo. Otherwise, expect decreasing clouds through the period. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...None. OH...None. MI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for LMZ043. Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for LMZ046. && $$ DISCUSSION...Fisher AVIATION...MCD