Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana
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879 FXUS63 KIWX 100933 AFDIWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 533 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... * Dry and mild weather pattern continues through Saturday with large diurnal temperature swings as highs top out in the 70s. * Low rain chances return for the second half of the weekend before turning much colder for early to mid next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 200 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Quiet/tranquil weather continues through Friday ahead of leading low amplitude trough racing ewd through se Canada. Gusty sw winds expected ahead of cold front in association with this sys in the aftn as strong mixing propels temps to around 80. Cold front to stall through cntrl IN Fri night in response to potent secondary wave disturbance digging through the wrn lakes late Sat. Upstream frontal wave development over IL may spurn a burst of modest low level theta-e advection late Sat night to provide for a period of showers and perhaps a storm albeit under the presumptive guise that sufficient moisture return manifests ahead of this system. Nonetheless large guidance spread here warrants some pessimism wrt precip chances and will hold conservative. Otherwise will drop Fri night mention in light of shallow/stalling cold front settling south and lack of moisture. THereafter fairly deep upper low develops ewd in time across the ern lakes/New England by Mon. Broad/moist lake aggregate thermal trough will promote some certain lake driven showers Sun night through Mon night along with sharply colder temps. Post system drying follows mid next week with a hard frost likely inland away from any lake cloud influence, particularly Tue and Wed mornings. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 533 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Surface high pressure slowly shifts from north of the region to east of the region through this TAF period. As such, expect east winds to veer southerly at the end of the period and remain less than 10 kts through the period. Additionally, expect plenty of dry air that leads to VFR conditions. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...None. OH...None. MI...None. MARINE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...T AVIATION...Roller