Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Central Illinois
Issued by NWS Central Illinois
Versions:
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FNUS73 KILX 251119
FWSILX
Spot Forecast for Driftwood piles RX...USFWS
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
619 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on June 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (217) 732-3089 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop across the area
later this morning, with the higher chances late in the
afternoon. Storms will become more widespread tonight. Any
lingering rain on Wednesday will taper off by midday. Southwest
winds will increase to 10-15 mph, with a few gusts over 20 mph.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1200, then 3 in the afternoon.
Temperature.........78 at ignition...Max 93.
RH..................79 percent at ignition...Min 47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 10 mph at
ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 7 to 12
mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the late morning and
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth at ignition...max 5.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 17 to 25 mph shifting to the west 20
to 28 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /9900 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...Good
/84400 knot-ft/.
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
Sky (%).........31 51 60 57 53 52
Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE
Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 20 20 20 30
LAL.............1 1 2 2 2 3
Temp............78 86 89 92 93 93
RH..............79 61 56 49 49 49
20 ft wind......SW 10 SW 14 SW 14 SW 13 SW 12 SW 12
20 ft wind gust.21 23 23 22 20 20
Mix hgt (ft)....700 2000 2900 4200 4600 3400
Transport wind..SW 17 W 24 W 28 W 23 W 20 SW 18
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10 41 71 84 78 54
Ventrate Cat....POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD FAIR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 4.
Temperature.........Min 69.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
northwest 5 to 6 mph overnight. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 17 mph in the evening, then
northwest 13 to 16 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5000 knot-ft).
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........54 70 98 95 93 91
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).50 70 80 80 70 70
LAL.............3 4 5 5 4 4
Temp............91 83 77 74 72 70
RH..............54 70 85 93 97 100
20 ft wind......SW 9 SW 9 SW 7 NW 7 NW 7 NW 7
20 ft wind gust.16 16 12 10 10 12
Mix hgt (ft)....2500 700 500 500 600 700
Transport wind..W 17 NW 12 SW 14 S 12 SE 14 W 16
Haines index....4 4 4 4 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..38 7 6 5 7 10
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1300, then 1.
Temperature.........Max 86.
RH..................Min 51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
north 5 to 8 mph in the late morning and
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8100 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to Good (76800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........91 78 51 34 21 14
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).70 30 30 30 10 10
LAL.............4 3 3 3 1 1
Temp............69 72 78 82 85 86
RH..............100 93 79 67 57 51
20 ft wind......SW 6 SW 6 NW 8 N 8 N 8 N 10
20 ft wind gust.12 12 14 16 16 17
Mix hgt (ft)....1300 1000 2100 3700 4300 5500
Transport wind..NW 15 S 13 NW 10 N 12 N 16 N 16
Haines index....3 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..17 11 19 37 61 77
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
$$
Forecaster...Geelhart
Requested by...Ben Schmall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416665.0/ILX
.DELDT 06/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Benjamin_schmall@fws.gov