619
FNUS73 KILX 061038
FWSILX

Spot Forecast for Ballard Nature Center Field Day Rx...IDNR
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
438 AM CST Thu Mar 6 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CST on March 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (217) 732-3089 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Moderate northwesterly winds (surface winds sustained at 15 mph
this morning) will gradually weaken through the day and turn to
westerly late in the afternoon (around 10 mph). Dry and mostly
sunny conditions are expected today, and ventilation should be
fair. Precipitation chances return late tonight into Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........42 at ignition...Max 46.
RH..................48 percent at ignition...Min 42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 12 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 8 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /50800 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...Fair
                    /50800 knot-ft/.

TIME (CST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........2      3      7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0
Temp............42     45     46
RH..............48     43     42
20 ft wind......W 12   W 12   W 10
20 ft wind gust.20     20     17
Mix hgt (ft)....3000   3400   3300
Transport wind..NW 20  W 16   W 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..51     48     43
Ventrate Cat....FAIR   FAIR   FAIR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Temperature.........Min 34.
RH..................Max 82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 9 mph shifting to the south
                    after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2400 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........32     37     72     91     95     88
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     20     20     20
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............43     38     36     36     36     35
RH..............49     59     67     69     72     78
20 ft wind......SW 5   SW 5   S 3    S 3    S 3    SE 5
20 ft wind gust.7      7      8      8      8      12
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    300    400    400    300
Transport wind..W 8    SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   S 8    S 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3      3      3      3      3      2
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Temperature.........Max 56.
RH..................Min 54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph shifting to the south
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to Good (68700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........60     71     58     52     40     45
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............35     38     44     50     54     55
RH..............82     76     65     56     55     59
20 ft wind......SE 9   SE 9   SE 12  S 13   S 13   S 12
20 ft wind gust.15     15     20     20     20     17
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    1400   2700   3300   2600
Transport wind..SE 12  S 17   SE 22  S 23   S 23   SW 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4      11     26     54     66     39
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD   POOR

$$
Forecaster...Erwin
Requested by...Wade Bloemer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505058.0/ILX
.DELDT 03/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wade.bloemer@illinois.gov