Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Central Illinois
Issued by NWS Central Illinois
102
FNUS53 KILX 051805
FWFILX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Southeast Illinois
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
105 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Gusty south-southwest winds will continue through the evening,
easing gradually and veering slightly ahead of a cold front that
will cross the area from roughly 2am at the IL River to I-57 by 8-9
am Sunday morning. Behind that front, dew points will rapidly
drop and winds sharply turn, blowing out of the northwest. These
northwest winds will gust to around 25 mph through the afternoon
Sunday, which together with min afternoon RH values of 20 to 25
percent will result in enhanced risk for rapid fire spread. As
surface high pressure settles into the region in the wake of the
front early next work week, winds will ease and subsidence result
in decreasing mixing heights leading to fair to poor vent rates.
Precipitation chances remain less than 15% through next Saturday,
October 12th.
ILZ027>031-036>038-061100-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-
Including the cities of Galesburg, Toulon, Peoria, Lacon, Eureka,
Canton, Pekin, Bloomington, and Normal
105 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-1) 74 (-13) 40 70
RH % (24h trend) 78 (-4) 23 (-18) 79 26
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 14 G26 NW 8 G20 NW 8 G20 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 12 G26 NW 14 G22 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4340 4200
1700ft Mixing Temp 72 61
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 24 N 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 104160 42000
Vent Rate Category Good Poor
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 5
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 29 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 33 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 34 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 32 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ040>043-047>053-061100-
Schuyler-Mason-Logan-De Witt-Cass-Menard-Scott-Morgan-Sangamon-
Christian-Macon-
Including the cities of Rushville, Havana, Lincoln, Clinton,
Beardstown, Petersburg, Winchester, Jacksonville, Springfield,
Taylorville, and Decatur
105 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+2) 76 (-11) 43 68
RH % (24h trend) 85 (+2) 22 (-20) 77 27
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 11 G23 NW 8 G18 NW 7 G20 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 11 G23 NW 12 G22 N 5 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4610 4130
1700ft Mixing Temp 75 63
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 22 N 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 101420 41300
Vent Rate Category Good Poor
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 5 4
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 29 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 33 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 34 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum
RH 34 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 35 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ044>046-054>057-061-061100-
Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Including the cities of Monticello, Champaign, Urbana, Danville,
Sullivan, Tuscola, Charleston, Mattoon, Paris, and Shelbyville
105 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+5) 77 (-9) 43 68
RH % (24h trend) 93 (+10) 22 (-17) 79 30
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 9 G21 W 9 G17 NW 8 G20 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 10 G23 NW 12 G22 N 5 N 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4810 4220
1700ft Mixing Temp 76 61
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 21 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 101010 50640
Vent Rate Category Good Fair
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 5 5
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 31 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 35 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 37 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 36 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-061100-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
Including the cities of Greenup, Marshall, Effingham, Newton,
Robinson, Flora, Olney, and Lawrenceville
105 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+6) 81 (-5) 45 69
RH % (24h trend) 96 (+6) 22 (-18) 76 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 5 W 8 NW 7 G17 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6 G17 NW 10 G18 Lgt/Var N 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5020 4440
1700ft Mixing Temp 80 63
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 21 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105420 53280
Vent Rate Category Good Fair
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 5
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 30 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 37 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
Bumgardner