653
FNUS71 KILN 041355
FWSILN

Spot Forecast for BDC Prescribe Burn...Metro Parks
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
855 AM EST Mon Nov 4 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on November 06.
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Expect warmer temperatures and a few showers today through
Tuesday in the strong southerly flow between high pressure to
the east and a cold front to the west. Winds will gust close to
30 mph today, with gusts near 40 mph possible on Tuesday.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    late in the morning, then slight chance of
                    showers late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  81  76  72  67  62  57  52  51
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  20  20  20  10  10  10  10
Temp............64  66  66  66  67  67  67  68  65
RH..............83  79  78  77  74  72  71  68  72
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  8   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.7 2.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.14  13  12  10  12  12  12  10  7
Haines index....3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming north around 5
                    mph in the late evening and overnight becoming
                    light becoming north around 5 mph early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 2 to 5 mph shifting to the northeast
                    5 to 6 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  49  49  48  48  46  43  41  44  47  50  48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............63  61  57  55  54  53  52  51  50  49  47  47
RH..............75  78  85  87  90  90  90  91  92  94  100 100
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL early in the morning.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 6 mph early in the morning.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth early in the morning.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........47  46  45  45  45  44  43  42  38  34  31  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............47  46  49  53  56  57  59  61  61  61  62  59
RH..............97  100 93  83  77  75  67  62  60  60  55  59
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.NE  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.6   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Haines index....2   2   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. South winds around 8 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Novak
Requested by...Logan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2425667.0/ILN
.DELDT 11/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lrdunn@metroparks.net