Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
709 FXUS61 KILN 121722 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 122 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will provide dry conditions through the upcoming workweek. Slightly above normal temperatures early in the week will trend a bit cooler for the second half of the week before trending warmer again by this weekend. However, rain and storm chances will return, along with some breezy conditions, this upcoming weekend as well. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Elongated midlevel ridging will extend from the Great Lakes SW into the ArkLaTex region, providing dry and seasonably mild conditions for the local area for both the near and short term periods. After a daytime featuring abundant sunshine today, some clouds will gradually overspread from the E this evening into early Monday. This will occur coincident with erly moisture advection toward/past sunset, with greatest cloud cover expected across the ern half or so of the ILN FA by sunrise. Farther to the W, the increase in BL moisture this evening through tonight with only a FEW clouds could promote the development of some patchy fog, especially in area river valleys. The overland patchy fog potential will be highest near/S of the OH Rvr and near/W of the I-75 corridor. This being said, there is still some uncertainty in just how widespread the encroaching erly cloud cover will be with westward extent, which would impact fog development in these areas. Lows tonight will dip to around 50 degrees, with some upper 40s likely in rural/sheltered locations. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Monday will be very similar to today, with highs topping out in the lower to mid 70s amidst mostly sunny skies. Any patchy/river valley fog will dissipate by mid-morning, with cloud cover gradually scattering a bit into the afternoon, with a SCT Cu deck expected again by midday. Temps Monday night will bottom out in the mid 40s in the E from central OH through NE KY to around 50 degrees near/W of I-75 with mostly clear skies. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Quiet weather will be in place for much of the week with dry conditions expected Tuesday through Friday night. Some patchy frost will be possible primarily in central Ohio both Wednesday night and Thursday night. Heading into the weekend on Saturday a strong system will begin to approach the region. There is a good amount of model agreement for this system being a week out. There are more timing differences than yesterday with this system, however still looks breezy on Saturday with gustier winds on Sunday. It will be the main chance for rain this week as well. Will have to continue to monitor this system to resolve details on both strength and timing. && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... FEW/SCT VFR Cu are expected through the daytime, with additional moisture moving in from the E by this evening, keeping the potential for some SCT/BKN VFR clouds lingering through daybreak Monday for ern sites of KCMH/KLCK. Farther to the W for KCVG/KDAY/KLUK/KILN, skies should trend mostly clear this evening, although some increase in clouds is possible late toward/past 12z. With mainly clear skies and light winds, some river valley BR/FG is likely at KLUK and potentially even KCVG and KILN, too. IFR or lower VSBYs will be possible at KLUK in the several hours around daybreak. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail with light NE flow of 6-8kts or less through the period. FEW/SCT VFR Cu will prevail by the end of the period. OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION...