![National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](/build/images/header/noaa.d87e0251.png)
![National Weather Service](/build/images/header/nws.4e6585d8.png)
![United States Department of Commerce](/build/images/header/doc.b38ba91a.png)
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
138 FXUS61 KILN 301454 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1054 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will move southeast across the region today, with drier and cooler air moving in behind it. High pressure will then build south into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley tonight and Monday, continuing the cooler and drier weather. Heat and humidity will return, along with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, by midweek as the high departs and the next frontal system makes its way into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... The cold front has pushed south of our area this morning. A few showers may skirt along it through early afternoon but should generally remain to our south. Otherwise, drier and cooler air will continue to filter in behind the front today with highs ranging from the mid 70s northwest to the mid 80s in the far south. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/... Skies will clear tonight as surface high pressure builds south into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Gusty winds will settle down as the surface flow ranges from north to northeast. The much drier and cooler airmass will allow lows to fall into the lower to mid 50s. A few upper 40s are not out of the realm of possibility. On Monday, the high will continue to extend across the region. Mainly sunny skies are expected. After a cool start, highs will range from the mid and upper 70s. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Dry weather is forecast for Monday night and Tuesday as high pressure settles across the Great Lakes. A slow moving boundary will bring the threat for showers and thunderstorms for the remainder of the period from Wednesday through Saturday. Greatest threat for widespread storms appears to be on Thursday when a large swath of deep moisture and short wave energy interacts with an unstable airmass. Too early to pinpoint timing and location for severe weather but it is likely that some strong to severe storms will occur with this humid and unstable weather regime. Temperatures look close to normal to start the period, with highs Tuesday in the mid and upper 80s. Warm advection ahead of the boundary will boost highs into the 90s on Wednesday, with apparent temps around 100. Clouds and precip may limit highs to the 80s for Thursday through Saturday. && .AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... A cold front will move southeast across the remainder of the region between 12Z and 18Z. Winds will veer to the north behind the front. By 15Z, north winds will increase to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots possible. Some SCT CAA cumulus clouds will occur behind the front. Gustiness will diminish between 23Z and 01Z. For tonight, high pressure will build southward into the central Great Lakes and middle Ohio Valley. Skies will be mostly clear. North to northeast winds will range between 5 and 10 knots. OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Wednesday and Thursday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Hickman NEAR TERM...JGL SHORT TERM...Hickman LONG TERM...Coniglio AVIATION...Hickman