430
FXUS61 KILN 120447
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1247 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will provide for dry conditions through the end of the
week. Temperatures will be a few degrees above normal for the next
few days before slightly cooler temperatures arrive for mid week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
An elongated ridge of surface high pressure will extend down across
the Great Lakes and into the Ohio Valley today. With a dry airmass in
place, expect mostly sunny skies and temperatures a few degrees
above normal. Highs today will be in the low to mid 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
Mid level ridging will build into the Ohio Valley tonight into
Monday. This will lead to continued dry and mild conditions. Lows
tonight will be in the mid 40s to around 50 degrees with highs on
Monday in the mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The large scale, positively tilted ridge continues to be in control
of our sensible weather for the start of the working week. To our
northwest, an occluding low over Manitoba continues to work east,
further amplifying the ridge and trailing a long cold front down into
CONUS/ Great Plains.

We`ll have one more day of ridging and warm air advection, allowing
for Tuesday`s highs to be in the upper 70s across the CWA with Tds
in the mid 50s before the dry cold front passes through the region.
We`ll see a slight uptick in cloud cover with this FROPA, but
otherwise this moisture starved front will only act to usher in
continental high pressure and cold air advection.

Wednesday`s temperatures look to be about 10 degrees cooler compared
to Tuesday and overnight lows begin to fall into the upper 30s
Wednesday night and Thursday night. Meanwhile, the ridge that will
be over us will be amplified by a longwave disturbance digging in
over western Canada. Long range guidance hints at a more active
pattern as we head toward the weekend with the eastward movement of
the longwave trough and some shortwave disturbances moving through.
Current signal suggests a subtle warming trend as we head toward
the weekend with the possibility of some much needed rainfall.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Some river valley fog will be possible through day break under clear
skies and light winds. This may lead to some MVFR to IFR vsbys
restrictions at KLUK. Otherwise, high pressure and a dry airmass
will lead to VFR conditions through the TAF period.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...