Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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929
FXUS61 KILN 032336
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
736 PM EDT Sat Oct 3 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes needed with this update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A cold front passing Sunday evening will bring a reinforcement of
cooler air lasting a couple days. However, no precipitation is
forecast for the next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Key Message 1)

The cold front which exited southeast of the area on Friday is over
the southeast CONUS and will eventually sink further south to the
Gulf Coast early in the new week. A deepening low pressure system
passing well to our north will send another cold front southeast
through the area Sunday evening. However, the first front well to
the south will keep the moisture supply cut off, and Sunday night`s
front will come through dry. A modest drop in temperatures will
follow for a couple of days as surface high pressure builds in from
the northwest behind the front. This high departs to the east by
midweek and allows for returning south to southwest winds to carry in
somewhat warmer air. Another cold front may arrive late in the week
under persistent west northwest upper level flow. However,
significant moisture will still be cut off near the Gulf Coast, and
no rain is forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
With dry air in place limited any fog mention in the TAFs to the
river valley location KLUK overnight. There are some signals that
some MVFR cigs may develop late in the overnight and into the daytime
morning hours on Sunday. Confidence is not overly high in this
occurring and limited mention of MVFR cigs to a tempo during that
time. Any cloud cover will gradually decrease by the end of the TAF
period.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather is expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...08