Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
740 FXUS61 KILN 112259 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 659 PM EDT Fri Jul 11 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Showers and thunderstorms are possible each day, particularly in the afternoons and evenings. Temperatures will be near to above normal for the week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... Isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed. These will continue into the evening hours before dissipating. Temperatures are expected to be slightly above normal with with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s today and lows tonight in the low 70s. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT/... A system will work through Saturday into Saturday night. There will be the potential for damaging winds and also the potential for localized flash flooding. Will continue to highlight these threats in the HWO. In addition heat index values will be in the middle to upper 90s on Saturday and continued mention of heat in the HWO as well. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Surface cold front will shift east through the middle Ohio Valley on Sunday. Forcing along and ahead of the front will provide numerous showers and storms, with a focus toward central Ohio and northeast Kentucky during the afternoon and evening hours. Behind the front, mostly dry weather will follow early next week under the influence of weak high pressure. Mid-level ridging is likely to build over the Ohio Valley ahead of another trough over the northern tier of states for Wednesday and Thursday. Even with building heights (and associated heat concerns), increasing low-level moisture will provide some impetus for showers and storms in the afternoon and evening. Timing becomes less certain to close the period, so will continue to monitor for the best storm coverage Thursday into Friday. && .AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... While some very isolated showers are still possible this evening, most locations will remain dry, and the TAFs will be kept dry also. VFR conditions are expected overnight, with the exception of some valley fog at KLUK. Tomorrow, SSW winds will pick up to around 10-12 knots by afternoon. There will also be thunderstorms in the area from the afternoon into the evening. While storms appear fairly likely, the exact timing and placement remains uncertain, so this forecast will use PROB30 groups for all TAF sites for a few hours to account for the most likely time period in which storms could occur. OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms are possible each day through Wednesday, with the greatest chance during the afternoon and evening. MVFR conditions are possible Sunday morning. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION...Hatzos