969
FXUS61 KILN 222000
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
300 PM EST Wed Jan 22 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry and cold weather continues tonight as high pressure over the
southern Plains builds over the Ohio Valley. A weak frontal
system on Thursday will bring clouds and perhaps some light snow
or flurries before high pressure and fair weather returns
Friday and Saturday. Temperatures will warm to near normal
values this weekend.


&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Surface high pressure centered over the southern Plains and
Lower Mississippi Valley will provide fair weather tonight.
Temperatures will slowly drop through the teens with perhaps a
few cold spots reaching into the single digits.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A weak frontal system will move through the Great Lakes and
Ohio Valley Thursday. While the National Blend of Models keeps
us dry, can`t rule out some light, fluffy snow based on a few of
the high-resolution models. Main impact from this wave will be
increasing clouds through the day. High temperatures will make
it up into the upper 20s to lower 30s.

Cold high pressure will build back into the region Thursday
night. With very dry air and decreasing clouds, most locations
are likely to see temperatures fall through the teens into the
single digits above zero.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
An upper level trough axis will push off to the east through the day
on Friday as surface high pressure begins to build in from the west.
This will result in dry but continued cool conditions with afternoon
highs in the 20 to 25 degree range.

Zonal flow will set up aloft through the weekend as surface high
pressure generally remains in place across the Ohio Valley through
the weekend. Some weak southern stream energy and moisture looks to
remain mainly shunted off to our south through early next week. The
flow aloft will become a bit more amplified through mid week as some
weak mid level energy drops down across the Great Lakes. This may
eventually lead to some lower end pops by the end of the long term
period but will keep the forecast dry for now. Temperatures will
moderate back to more normal-like readings through the weekend with
even some above normal readings possible by mid week.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR conditions will persist today as a weak disturbance pushes
mid and high-level clouds through the region. MVFR ceilings are
likely late in the period as a frontal system begins to
approach during the day on Thursday. Southwesterly winds will
become northwesterly behind the front Thursday evening during
the extended CVG TAF period.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CIGs are possible into Friday, and again on
Sunday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...JGL
AVIATION...