Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
756 FXUS61 KILN 101026 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 626 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will keep quiescent conditions across the region with above normal temperatures. A weak cold front will move through midweek bringing some showers and thunderstorms. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... High pressure at the surface and aloft will persist today. There is some signal for isolated convection this afternoon, generally from the I-75 corridor westwards. Highs will be near persistence. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/... Little change through the short term. Some river valley fog late at night. Then development of cumulus during the day with isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the western part of the forecast area. Lows and highs will be quite similar to the preceding periods. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Surface high pressure over the eastern seaboard shifts far enough offshore Monday night into Tuesday that the Ohio Valley will no longer be under it`s direct influence. Simultaneously, upper level ridging over the Great Lakes breaks down giving way to troughing for the mid week. The combination of weak forcing and increased PWATs should support at least some diurnal shower and storm chances from the midweek onwards. Thursday afternoon could potentially have the best coverage with a vorticity max progressing through. Forecast highs remain in the upper 80s and lows are near 70 through the end of the week. && .AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Few to scattered cumulus will develop across the region and then diminish towards 00Z. An isolated shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out this afternoon. Localized visibility restrictions in fog will occur at KLUK late in the period. OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM...Campbell AVIATION...