871
FNUS72 KILM 151906
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for MOTSU B6.7...DoD Army
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
306 PM EDT Tue Apr 15 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure and dry weather will dominate the mid to late week
period, with yet another dry cold front forecasted for next
weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the west
                    7 to 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 18 mph shifting to the west 17
                    to 18 mph in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Good (100223 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........1.
Max ADI.............112.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  59  62  64  65  66  66  66  67
RH..............49  44  39  37  35  34  35  36  38
20 FT wind dir..N   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  11  12  12  12  12  12  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.7 4.3 5.1 5.6 5.8 5.4 4.6 4.6
Transp wind dir.N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.18  18  16  17  17  17  17  17  18
Stability.......B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............60  82  82  101 110 112 105 93  100
Vrate mph-ft/1K.48  68  69  87  97  100 93  79  86
Ventrate Cat....FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  VGD GD  GD  GD
Sfc pres (in)...005 005 007 007 007 002 002 002 998

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming north around 5
                    mph early in the morning.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 17 mph shifting to the north 9 to 14
                    mph overnight.
Min vent rate.......Poor (3388 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........3.
Min ADI.............4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   1   1   2   3   5   8   10  9   8   7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  64  62  60  58  57  56  55  54  52  50  49
RH..............41  45  51  57  62  68  70  71  74  73  74  72
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   6   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.11  9   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.17  16  13  12  10  10  9   9   9   10  13  14
Stability.......E   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............12  7   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   5   5   6
Vrate mph-ft/1K.79  31  7   6   4   4   3   4   4   5   6   7
Ventrate Cat....GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...998 998 002 002 002 008 008 008 010 010 010 011

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 18 mph shifting to the west around
                    10 mph late in the afternoon, then shifting to
                    the south around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Fair (47374 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........3.
Max ADI.............56.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   5   3   2   1   1   1   1   2   4   6   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............49  49  50  54  60  64  65  66  68  67  67  67
RH..............74  74  69  58  48  41  40  39  38  40  42  43
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.8   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 0.9 1.8 2.7 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.6 3.8 3.1 2.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  W   SW  S
Transp wind spd.15  17  18  16  15  13  12  12  10  10  12  12
Stability.......A   A   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B
LVORI...........3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............15  16  21  37  48  55  56  56  56  49  42  34
Vrate mph-ft/1K.10  13  16  29  39  45  46  47  47  41  34  27
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...011 011 019 019 019 023 023 023 021 021 021 020

$$
Forecaster...Bacon
Requested by...K Crawford
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510410.0/ILM
.DELDT 04/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL trent.k.crawford.civ@army.mil