Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
145
FNUS72 KILM 282132
FWSILM
Spot Forecast for Covington Drive Fire...Horry County Emergency Management
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
532 PM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will continue to keep it dry through Saturday
night before an upper disturbance and cold front bring rain late
Sunday into Monday night. Drier high pressure will then return
Tuesday.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (4534 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........7.
Min ADI.............5.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........25 27 29 28 27 26 33 40 47 48 48 49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............72 69 67 65 64 63 63 62 61 60 60 59
RH..............67 72 79 82 85 87 88 90 91 92 94 96
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..9 8 7 7 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.14 14 12 11 11 9 8 7 6 6 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.20 18 20 18 17 17 17 16 15 15 14 12
Stability.......E E E E F F F E F F F F
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 7
ADI.............13 12 13 12 8 8 8 11 7 7 6 5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.13 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 5
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...026 026 023 023 023 026 026 026 024 024 024 022
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 10 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph.
Max vent rate.......Good (65347 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Max ADI.............65.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52 55 58 56 53 51 45 38 31 32 32 33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............59 58 59 63 67 72 73 75 75 75 74 73
RH..............97 99 97 84 72 63 60 56 55 54 56 59
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 3 6 8 8 9 9 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 7 9 12 13 14 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 3.0 3.4 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.4 2.6
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.12 12 12 13 15 16 17 17 18 18 18 20
Stability.......B B B B B D C C C C C C
LVORI...........5 5 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............12 12 12 13 29 39 60 62 65 63 63 57
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5 4 5 9 22 48 59 63 65 63 62 50
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD FR
Sfc pres (in)...022 022 025 025 025 030 030 030 024 024 024 019
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 18 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (6672 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Min ADI.............6.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........37 46 52 56 57 63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............71 64 63 62 61 61
RH..............64 82 88 91 94 96
20 ft wind......S 8 S 5 S 5 S 3 S 2 S 2
20 ft wind gust.13 8 7 6 6 6
Mix hgt (ft)....1600 400 500 600 600 600
Transport wind..S 18 S 15 S 15 S 15 S 15 S 15
Stability.......E E E F F F
LVORI...........2 4 5 5 6 6
ADI.............12 10 10 7 7 6
Vrate mph-ft/1K.29 7 7 9 8 9
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
Sfc pres (in)...30.19 30.17 30.17 30.18 30.16 30.16
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 9 mph in the
late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Max vent rate.......Fair (45289 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........8.
Max ADI.............50.
Chance of lightning.10 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........67 69 62 55 48 50
Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC
Chc of ltng (%).0 10 10 0 10 10
Temp............60 61 68 73 75 75
RH..............98 97 80 70 64 67
20 ft wind......SE 2 SE 2 S 6 S 7 S 9 S 9
20 ft wind gust.5 6 9 13 14 14
Mix hgt (ft)....600 600 1700 2500 2800 2300
Transport wind..S 13 S 12 S 13 S 15 S 16 S 17
Stability.......C C D C C C
LVORI...........8 6 3 1 1 1
ADI.............10 9 23 41 50 47
Vrate mph-ft/1K.8 7 23 36 45 40
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR POOR
Sfc pres (in)...30.12 30.14 30.14 30.14 30.09 30.09
$$
Forecaster...Scalora
Requested by...Loren Wallace
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2508269.10/ILM
.DELDT 03/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Hodge.Samuel@horrycountysc.gov,Wallace.Loren@horrycountysc.gov,Norket.Michael@horrycountysc.gov