Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
652
FNUS72 KILM 092008 CCA
FWSILM
Spot Forecast for Sunset Road Fire...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
408 PM EDT Fri May 9 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.
.DISCUSSION...
An isolated shower or storm is possible this evening along the
seabreeze and ahead of an approaching cold front. Any storm that
fires this evening should quickly die off after sunset. The cold
front will stall near the area this weekend, maintaining unsettled
weather near the coast through Sunday. An area of low pressure
develops over the Southeast early next week, leading to an
extended period of rainy weather.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Max mixing hgt......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 15 mph.
Max vent rate.......Fair (47918 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........1.
Max ADI.............59.
Chance of lightning.30 percent.
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69 70
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
Chc of thdr (%).30 30
Chc of ltng (%).30 30
Temp............77 77
RH..............68 70
20 FT wind dir..SW SW
20 FT wind spd..7 7
20 FT wind gust.11 11
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.SW SW
Transp wind spd.15 14
Stability.......B B
LVORI...........1 1
ADI.............59 49
Vrate mph-ft/1K.48 40
Ventrate Cat....FR PR
Sfc pres (in)...989 987
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
early in the evening.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming north 5 to 7 mph
overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 12 mph shifting to the north 12 to 14
mph overnight, then shifting to the northeast
around 16 mph after 3 am.
Min vent rate.......Poor (3383 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Min ADI.............4.
Chance of lightning.30 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........62 48 38 37 37 36 41 46 51 50 50 50
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).30 20 20 20 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 0
Chc of ltng (%).30 20 20 20 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 0
Temp............76 75 72 71 70 69 68 67 67 66 64 64
RH..............72 76 83 87 89 92 91 92 91 90 90 87
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW W W W N N N N NE
20 FT wind spd..6 5 3 3 3 2 3 5 5 6 6 7
20 FT wind gust.8 7 5 5 4 4 5 6 8 9 11 12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.6
Transp wind dir.W SW W W W W NW N N NE NE NE
Transp wind spd.12 9 8 8 8 8 9 12 13 14 16 16
Stability.......E E F F F F E E E E E D
LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 5 4
ADI.............8 6 4 4 4 4 6 8 8 9 11 14
Vrate mph-ft/1K.23 10 4 3 3 3 4 5 6 12 8 9
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...987 987 990 990 990 995 995 995 998 998 998 000
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
showers late in the afternoon. Chance of
showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 8 mph shifting to the east
around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 20 mph.
Max vent rate.......Marginal (40600 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............49.
Chance of lightning.10 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54 58 62 65 68 71 71 71 70 76 81 87
Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
Temp............63 62 64 65 67 68 69 70 71 71 71 70
RH..............88 86 80 72 65 58 56 54 53 53 55 57
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E
20 FT wind spd..7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6
20 FT wind gust.12 13 14 14 14 14 13 12 12 11 11 11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.2 1.7
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.17 17 20 20 18 16 14 14 12 13 13 14
Stability.......C C C C C C C C C C C C
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
ADI.............13 13 45 47 49 46 41 41 34 35 33 30
Vrate mph-ft/1K.10 10 35 37 41 39 36 36 31 30 27 23
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...000 000 008 008 008 013 013 013 016 016 016 014
$$
Forecaster...Boatman
Requested by...Dakota Paris
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513529.1/ILM
.DELDT 05/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL austin.harriett@ncagr.gov,dakota.paris@ncagr.gov,Ncfs.imt.plans@ncagr.gov,Clell.britt@ncagr.gov