383
FNUS72 KILM 162317
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Darlington County Landfill Fire...Darlington County EMD
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
717 PM EDT Mon Sep 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 EDT on September 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Periodic showers, with an isolated thunderstorm possible this evening,
expected through the night as low pressure tracks further inland
across South Carolina overnight through Tue. Drier conditions should
then return mid to late week.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers in the evening.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
                    night. Showers likely overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 8 to 15 mph with gusts to around 24
                    mph shifting to the southeast around 6 mph
                    after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Min mixing hgt......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 21 to 29 mph shifting to the east 15
                    to 18 mph late in the evening, then shifting to
                    the southeast 14 to 16 mph after 3 am.
Min vent rate.......Poor (9418 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........8.
Min ADI.............6.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........91  90  91  92  92  92  92  93  93  93  93
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............66  66  67  67  67  67  67  67  66  66  66
RH..............99  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..15  14  13  10  8   8   7   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.24  22  21  20  17  15  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.29  25  24  21  18  17  17  15  16  16  14
Stability.......D   D   D   D   D   D   D   E   E   E   F
LVORI...........4   5   5   5   5   5   5   7   7   7   8
ADI.............26  23  22  19  16  15  15  10  11  11  6
Haines index....2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
Vrate mph-ft/1K.32  23  22  18  15  14  14  11  12  11  9
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...969 962 962 962 961 961 961 960 960 960 964

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers in the morning, then slight chance of
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Max mixing hgt......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 14 mph shifting to the south 10
                    to 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Marginal (34536 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........8.
Max ADI.............28.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  87  85  83  82  81  80  78  77  73  68  63
Weather cov.....CHC SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  66  66  67  69  70  71  73  73  74  75  75
RH..............100 100 100 96  94  92  89  86  86  84  83  83
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   5   6   5   5   5   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.12  11  10  10  10  12  13  13  12  11  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  14  13  14  13  13  12  12  12  12  10  10
Stability.......F   C   C   C   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D
LVORI...........8   7   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............6   11  14  23  22  24  24  26  28  28  25  25
Haines index....2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.9   9   12  18  21  25  27  31  35  35  31  31
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...964 964 971 971 971 974 974 974 974 974 974 972

$$
Forecaster...Hoehler
Requested by...Molly Odom
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422468.3/ILM
.DELDT 09/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL modom@darcoems.net