Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
976
FNUS72 KILM 111558
FWSILM
Spot Forecast for Sunset Rd Fire...NCFS
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1158 AM EDT Sun May 11 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 EDT on May 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.
.DISCUSSION...
Spotty showers continue through the rest of the day, with a few
rumbles of thunder also possible. A lingering front and tropical
moisture will lead to widespread rainfall Monday and Tuesday,
giving the area some of the best rain we`ve seen in months.
Showers look more spotty by Wednesday, before a drying trend
finally takes hold towards the end of the work week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Max mixing hgt......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 16 mph.
Max vent rate.......Poor (28758 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............36.
Chance of lightning.30 percent.
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........95 94 93 93 94 94
Weather cov.....DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 30 30 30 30
Chc of ltng (%).20 20 30 30 30 30
Temp............70 71 72 72 72 72
RH..............91 87 86 86 85 85
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..6 6 7 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.10 10 11 11 11 11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.6
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.13 13 12 14 16 15
Stability.......C C C C C B
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 4
ADI.............23 27 27 33 36 31
Vrate mph-ft/1K.18 21 22 27 29 24
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...023 023 022 022 022 019
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers in
the evening and overnight. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Showers likely
after 3 am.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 16 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (5646 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Min ADI.............8.
Chance of lightning.40 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........93 93 93 92 91 91 90 89 89 90 92 94
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 40
Chc of ltng (%).30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 40
Temp............72 71 70 69 69 69 70 70 70 70 70 70
RH..............87 91 93 95 95 96 95 94 95 95 96 96
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.11 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.14 15 16 14 14 15 15 14 13 13 14 14
Stability.......E E E E E E E E E E E E
LVORI...........5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
ADI.............9 10 11 9 9 10 10 9 8 8 9 9
Vrate mph-ft/1K.24 18 8 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 7
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...019 019 019 019 019 019 019 019 018 018 018 017
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely early
in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Showers early in the morning.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Max mixing hgt......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 21 mph.
Max vent rate.......Fair (45655 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Max ADI.............47.
Chance of lightning.40 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91 88 94 94 94 94 94 94 99 100 100 100
Weather cov.....LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).40 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 40 40 40 40
Chc of ltng (%).40 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 40 40 40 40
Temp............70 70 69 71 72 73 74 74 74 74 74 73
RH..............97 97 100 97 94 92 90 90 90 90 90 91
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.11 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.9 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2
Transp wind dir.SE S SE S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.14 14 15 15 18 18 20 20 18 20 20 21
Stability.......B B C C C C C C D D D D
LVORI...........5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
ADI.............14 14 15 30 40 43 47 46 35 37 40 42
Vrate mph-ft/1K.7 6 13 24 31 35 37 37 36 39 42 46
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR
Sfc pres (in)...017 017 022 022 022 022 022 022 018 018 018 011
$$
Forecaster...Boatman
Requested by...Clell Britt
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513692.0/ILM
.DELDT 05/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL charles.britt@ncagr.gov,dakota.paris@ncagr.gov