018
FNUS72 KILM 092053
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Covington Fire...SC Forestry Commission
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
453 PM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 EDT on March 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Light rain will move in from the south around midnight tonight as
strengthening low pressure moves across the Southeast. Rain increases
in intensity daytime Monday, with roughly 2 inches expected through
Monday night. Slight chance of thunderstorms Monday afternoon.
Northeast winds increase Monday afternoon as the low passes off the
coast. Rain comes to an end Monday night, with dry and slightly
breezy conditions expected Tuesday. High pressure brings less wind
and a warming trend through midweek.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Max mixing hgt......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph.
Max vent rate.......Poor (17585 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........2.
Max ADI.............21.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.

TIME (EDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........67
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of ltng (%).0
Temp............59
RH..............43
20 FT wind dir..E
20 FT wind spd..3
20 FT wind gust.7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2
Transp wind dir.E
Transp wind spd.8
Stability.......C
LVORI...........2
ADI.............21
Vrate mph-ft/1K.18
Ventrate Cat....PR
Sfc pres (in)...003

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the evening, then rain showers
                    likely overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 13 mph shifting to the northeast 10
                    to 14 mph after 3 am.
Min vent rate.......Poor (3627 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Min ADI.............4.
Chance of lightning.10 percent.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........71  76  74  77  80  82  86  89  92  94  95  97
Weather cov.....SCH     SCH         SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW      RW          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............57  55  54  53  52  52  51  51  51  50  50  50
RH..............52  58  67  70  74  76  78  80  83  84  86  88
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  12  13  13  10  9   9   10  14  14
Stability.......E   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   E   E
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   4   5
ADI.............6   4   5   5   6   6   5   4   4   5   9   9
Vrate mph-ft/1K.12  10  4   5   5   6   5   4   4   4   6   7
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...003 003 003 003 003 003 003 003 993 993 993 987

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers in the
                    morning, then rain showers likely late in the
                    morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 23 mph increasing to 26 to 29
                    mph in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Fair (46751 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............49.
Chance of lightning.30 percent.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........96     95     88     86     89     88
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of ltng (%).10     10     10     20     30     30
Temp............49     49     52     55     58     57
RH..............90     91     89     86     85     88
20 ft wind......NE 5   NE 6   NE 8   NE 9   NE 10  NE 12
20 ft wind gust.9      12     14     17     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....500    900    1000   900    1600   1300
Transport wind..NE 15  NE 16  NE 22  NE 23  NE 29  NE 28
Stability.......D      D      D      D      D      D
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4
ADI.............16     19     28     28     49     42
Vrate mph-ft/1K.8      14     22     22     47     36
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   POOR
Sfc pres (in)...29.87  29.80  29.80  29.76  29.66  29.66

$$
Forecaster...Oliva
Requested by...State Prevention Coordinator
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2504567.57/ILM
.DELDT 03/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sphillips@scfc.gov,tannerj@horrycountysc.gov,djones@scfc.gov,ksmith@scfc.gov,ewest@scfc.gov,lawson.ben@horrycountysc.gov,clined@horrycountysc.gov,ammons.nickolas@horrycountysc.gov,crevels@scfc.gov,LoeperT@horrycountysc.gov,dcarroll@scfc.gov,norket.michael@horrycountysc.gov,dmills@scfc.gov,nash.chris@horrycountysc.gov,cwatson@scfc.gov,wallace.loren@horrycountysc.gov,rholt@scfc.gov,mney@scfc.gov