223
FNUS72 KILM 071357
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for BSL RX Burn...NCFS
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
857 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EST on February 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front will move into the area this morning bringing some
clouds and potential for rain.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight is moderate in S.C.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mixed Sun and Clouds (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph late in the morning
                    becoming light.
Max mixing hgt......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Poor (27925 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........3.
Max ADI.............26.

TIME (EST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  64  64  53  40  30  37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............69  71  72  73  73  72  69
RH..............72  64  58  55  54  57  64
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  W   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   3   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.9   8   7   6   5   5   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.2 2.4 2.9 2.2 1.2 0.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NW  NW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.15  13  9   8   7   7   7
Stability.......D   D   D   C   B   B   B
LVORI...........3   2   2   2   2   2   3
ADI.............26  26  19  25  20  11  7
Vrate mph-ft/1K.25  28  22  23  15  8   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...009 009 007 007 007 007 007

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog late
                    in the evening. Slight chance of rain showers
                    late in the evening. Chance of rain showers
                    overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east 7 to
                    15 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Min vent rate.......Poor (2267 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Min ADI.............3.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........43  50  58  65  73  71  70  68  68  68  68  71
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RNF RNF RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  61  59  57  56  55  54  54  53  53  52  52
RH..............74  82  85  86  85  86  86  87  89  91  93  95
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   3   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.2   2   3   3   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   7   8   10  12  13  14  15  14  14
Stability.......F   F   F   F   F   F   F   E   E   E   E   E
LVORI...........3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
ADI.............3   3   3   3   4   5   5   8   9   10  9   9
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   2   2   3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...007 012 012 012 016 016 016 015 015 015 015 015

$$
Forecaster...Zouzias
Requested by...Alan Matthews
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502512.0/ILM
.DELDT 02/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alan.matthews@ncagr.gov