Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
883
FNUS52 KILM 081654
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1254 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms until early this
evening, mainly across inland areas. Unsettled weather arrives
Wednesday with best storm chances Thursday and Friday. Rain
chances decrease slightly for the weekend, but afternoon showers
and thunderstorms remain a fixture.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-090600-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
1254 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 30 80
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 30 20
Min/Max Temp 75 90 74 89
Max/Min RH (%) 97 59 96 70
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 6 S 5 S 6 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 8 S 4 S 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.14
Precip Duration 0 1 2 9
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 8 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 2900
Transport Wind (mph) S 20 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72000 46400
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 74 Good 28 Fair 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 12 Poor 70 Good 11 Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-090600-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
1254 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 50 50 80
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 50 50
Min/Max Temp 74 91 73 90
Max/Min RH (%) 98 58 98 69
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.05 0.09 0.09 0.25
Precip Duration 1 1 2 6
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 77/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 3300
Transport Wind (mph) S 16 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400 46200
ADI Early 11 Poor 64 Good 17 Gen Poor 38 Fair
ADI Late 7 Poor 70 Good 9 Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-090600-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
1254 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 50 80
Chance Thunder (%) 20 50 50 50
Min/Max Temp 74 90 73 90
Max/Min RH (%) 100 59 99 67
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 4 S 6 G17 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 8 G17 Lgt/Var S 6 G17
Precip Amount 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.13
Precip Duration 0 2 2 6
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 8 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0800 2000 78/0900
Dispersion Poor Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3100
Transport Wind (mph) S 16 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 43400
ADI Early 11 Poor 55 Gen Good 27 Fair 37 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 56 Gen Good 10 Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 7 1 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-090600-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
1254 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 60 60 80
Chance Thunder (%) 30 60 60 50
Min/Max Temp 73 91 72 90
Max/Min RH (%) 100 57 100 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.11 0.24 0.21 0.18
Precip Duration 1 2 3 5
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 11 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 78/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 3900
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 50700
ADI Early 10 Poor 48 Gen Good 11 Poor 38 Fair
ADI Late 7 Poor 51 Gen Good 7 Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6 8
Max LVORI Late 7 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner