Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
224
FNUS52 KILM 170606
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
206 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Cool,dry conditions continue today before warmer and moister
conditions return this weekend as high pressure shifts offshore. A
cold front will move through Sunday night with little rainfall
expected. High pressure behind this front will bring cooler and
drier conditions again through the rest of the period.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-171915-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
206 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 68 45 75
Min/Max RH (%) 34 82 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 56/1000 1800 65/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3500
Transport Wind (mph) N 14 SW 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 21000
ADI Early 38 Fair 4 Very Poor 12 Poor
ADI Late 59 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 24 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 83 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-171915-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
206 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 69 46 77
Min/Max RH (%) 31 85 43
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 56/1000 1800 65/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 3600
Transport Wind (mph) N 10 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40000 32400
ADI Early 35 Fair 3 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-171915-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
206 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 69 48 75
Min/Max RH (%) 38 87 47
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 61/1100 1800 65/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 4000
Transport Wind (mph) N 8 SW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28800 28000
ADI Early 26 Fair 3 Very Poor 14 Gen Poor
ADI Late 35 Fair 3 Very Poor 29 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 2 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-171915-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
206 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 69 48 76
Min/Max RH (%) 34 90 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 61/1100 1800 66/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3900
Transport Wind (mph) NW 6 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 22800 31200
ADI Early 22 Fair 3 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 33 Fair 3 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 3 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW