Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
135
FNUS52 KILM 171902
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
302 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move offshore by Friday leading to a
significant warming trend for the weekend. Rain chances increase
Monday night or Tuesday ahead of a cold front.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-181115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
302 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 51 80 58 84
Max/Min RH (%) 100 41 97 43
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 6 S 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 8 S 4 S 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 66/1000 2000 65/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 4500
Transport Wind (mph) S 17 SW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 110500 90000
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 71 Good 14 Gen Poor 81 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 106 Very Good7 Poor 78 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-181115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
302 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 51 81 58 88
Max/Min RH (%) 100 38 97 36
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 7 G18 SW 5 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 8 G19 S 4 S 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 68/1000 2000 67/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 20 S 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 126000 100000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 76 Good 15 Gen Poor 78 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 119 Very Good8 Poor 87 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 7 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-181115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
302 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 52 79 58 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 44 99 41
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 S 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 8 Lgt/Var S 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 67/1000 2000 67/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4700
Transport Wind (mph) S 18 S 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 104400 79900
ADI Early 7 Poor 82 Good 14 Gen Poor 66 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 98 Good 7 Poor 79 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 7 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-181115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
302 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 50 81 57 88
Max/Min RH (%) 100 38 99 36
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 7 S 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 8 S 4 S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 69/1000 2000 66/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 5300
Transport Wind (mph) S 20 S 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 130000 90100
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 83 Good 14 Gen Poor 69 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 128 Very Good7 Poor 93 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 7 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$